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CA Final · Advanced Financial Management · International Financial Management

Under the unbiased forward rate theory, what does the forward rate for a currency represent?

Under the unbiased forward rate theory, the forward exchange rate is the market's unbiased estimate of the future spot rate, so on average the forward rate equals the spot rate that actually materialises, apart from random errors.

  1. AThe rate fixed by the central bank for hedging
  2. BThe market's unbiased predictor of the future spot rateCorrect
  3. CThe spot rate adjusted for the bank's profit margin
  4. DThe rate that equals the inflation differential between two countries

Explanation

The unbiased forward rate theory holds that the forward rate equals the expected future spot rate, so it is an unbiased predictor. Inflation differentials relate to purchasing power parity, not this theory.

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