FRM Part I · FRM Exam Part I · Binomial Trees
Which statement about the convergence of a binomial tree to the Black-Scholes-Merton model is correct?
A tree with u and d calibrated to volatility, such as u equal to e to the σ root Δt, converges to the Black-Scholes-Merton price for European options as steps increase. The stock distribution approaches lognormal. Probabilities need not be 0.5, and delta varies across nodes.
- AFor a European option, if u and d are calibrated to the volatility (for example u = e^(σ√Δt), d = 1/u), the tree value converges to the BSM price as the number of steps increases.Correct
- BConvergence to BSM requires the risk-neutral probability to equal 0.5 at every node.
- CThe delta of the option stays fixed across all nodes of the tree, so adding steps does not change the hedge.
- DAdding steps makes the tree reflect realized rather than assumed volatility, so the price no longer depends on σ.
Explanation
With u and d tied to σ√Δt, the stock's distribution in the tree approaches lognormal as Δt falls, so European values converge to BSM. The probability p is generally not 0.5 (it depends on r and σ). Delta changes from node to node with the stock price and time. Volatility remains an input.
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