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FRM Part I · FRM Exam Part I · Binomial Trees

A stock has annual volatility of 20%. A one-year binomial step is built with the Cox-Ross-Rubinstein (CRR) approach, which sets u = e^(σ√Δt) and d = 1/u. What is the down factor d, to four decimals?

The down factor is 0.8187. Under CRR, d is the reciprocal of u, so d equals e raised to minus σ times the square root of Δt. With σ of 20% and a one-year step, d = e^-0.20, which is 0.8187, not 1 minus 20%.

  1. A0.8187Correct
  2. B0.8000
  3. C0.8333
  4. D0.7788

Explanation

With Δt = 1, σ√Δt = 0.20, so u = e^0.20 = 1.2214 and d = e^-0.20 = 0.8187. The value 0.8000 is the common mistake of using 1 − σ, which is not the CRR formula. The value 0.8333 comes from 1/1.2.

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