CA Final · Advanced Financial Management
Portfolio Management: formula sheet
Key formulas
- Expected return (with probabilities)
- E(R) = Σ pi × Ri
- Probabilities must add up to 1. Use percentages or decimals consistently.
- Average return (historical data)
- Average R = ΣR ÷ n
- Use this when the question gives past returns and no probabilities.
- Variance and standard deviation
- σ² = Σ pi × (Ri − E(R))²; σ = √σ²
- For historical data with no probabilities, divide the sum of squared deviations by n or by n − 1 as the question directs. If unclear, state your assumption.
- Covariance
- Cov(A,B) = Σ pi × (RA − E(RA)) × (RB − E(RB))
- For historical data, sum the products of deviations and divide by n (or n − 1 if the question treats the data as a sample).
- Correlation coefficient
- ρAB = Cov(A,B) ÷ (σA × σB)
- Lies from −1 to +1. Hence Cov(A,B) = ρAB × σA × σB.
- Portfolio return
- Rp = wA × RA + wB × RB
- Weights are proportions of total investment and add up to 1.
- Two-asset portfolio variance
- σp² = wA²σA² + wB²σB² + 2 × wA × wB × Cov(A,B)
- Same as using 2 × wA × wB × ρ × σA × σB for the last term. Portfolio SD = √σp².
- Minimum-variance weight (two assets)
- wA = (σB² − Cov) ÷ (σA² + σB² − 2 × Cov); wB = 1 − wA
- Gives the mix with the lowest portfolio variance.
- n-asset portfolio variance
- σp² = Σi Σj wi × wj × Cov(i,j)
- Cov(i,i) = σi². Each pair appears twice in the double sum.
- Coefficient of variation
- CV = σ ÷ E(R)
- Risk per unit of return. Useful for comparing securities with different expected returns.
- Total risk
- Total risk = Systematic risk + Unsystematic risk
- Diversification reduces only the unsystematic part.
- Portfolio expected return (two assets)
- Rp = w1 × R1 + w2 × R2, with w1 + w2 = 1
- A simple weighted average. Correlation does not affect it.
- Covariance and correlation
- Cov12 = ρ12 × σ1 × σ2, so ρ12 = Cov12 ÷ (σ1 × σ2)
- If the question gives covariance, use it directly. Do not multiply by ρ again.
- Portfolio variance (two assets)
- σp² = w1²σ1² + w2²σ2² + 2 × w1 × w2 × ρ12 × σ1 × σ2
- Standard deviation σp = √σp². Square the weights in the first two terms.
- Minimum variance weight (two assets)
- w1 = (σ2² − Cov12) ÷ (σ1² + σ2² − 2 × Cov12); w2 = 1 − w1
- Gives the lowest-variance mix. Works for any ρ. A negative weight means short selling.
- Perfect negative correlation (ρ = −1)
- w1 = σ2 ÷ (σ1 + σ2); w2 = σ1 ÷ (σ1 + σ2); σp = 0
- Risk-free portfolio is possible only in this special case.
- Bounds on portfolio risk
- σp ≤ w1σ1 + w2σ2, with equality only when ρ12 = +1 (for non-negative weights)
- Shows that diversification benefit exists whenever ρ < +1.
- CAPM required return
- E(Ri) = Rf + βi × (Rm − Rf)
- Rm − Rf is the market risk premium. Use the result as the required return (cost of equity).
- Beta of a security
- β = Cov(i, m) ÷ σm² = ρim × σi ÷ σm
- Cov is covariance with the market; σm² is market variance. ρim is the correlation coefficient.
- Beta of a portfolio
- βp = Σ(wi × βi)
- Weights are market-value proportions and must add up to 1. Include the risk-free asset with β = 0.
- Security Market Line
- Required return = Rf + slope × β, where slope = (Rm − Rf)
- Intercept is Rf. Straight line with beta on the x-axis.
- Capital Market Line
- E(Rp) = Rf + [(Rm − Rf) ÷ σm] × σp
- Uses total risk σp. Applies only to efficient portfolios.
- Alpha / valuation test
- Alpha = Expected return − Required return
- Alpha > 0: undervalued. Alpha < 0: overvalued. Alpha = 0: fairly priced.
- Total risk split
- σ² = β² × σm² + unsystematic variance
- Systematic variance is β²σm². Only this part is priced by CAPM.
- Single index model
- Ri = αi + βi Rm + ei
- Taking expected values: E(Ri) = αi + βi E(Rm), because E(ei) = 0.
- Security variance
- σi² = βi² σm² + σei²
- First term is systematic risk, second is unsystematic risk.
- Covariance between two securities
- Cov(i, j) = βi × βj × σm²
- Holds in the single index model because errors are assumed uncorrelated.
- Portfolio alpha and beta
- αp = Σ wi αi ; βp = Σ wi βi
- Weights wi are market-value proportions and sum to 1.
- Portfolio variance (single index)
- σp² = βp² σm² + Σ wi² σei²
- Unsystematic part shrinks as the number of securities rises.
- APT expected return
- E(R) = Rf + β1 λ1 + β2 λ2 + … + βn λn
- λ is the risk premium of each factor, that is, the expected return of the factor over Rf.
- Arbitrage rule
- Expected return > APT return: underpriced, buy. Expected return < APT return: overpriced, sell.
- Fair price today = (expected price + dividend) ÷ (1 + APT return).
- Sharpe ratio
- Sharpe = (Rp − Rf) ÷ σp
- Uses total risk. Higher is better. Related to the Capital Market Line.
- Treynor ratio
- Treynor = (Rp − Rf) ÷ βp
- Uses systematic risk. Higher is better. Related to the Security Market Line.
- Jensen's alpha
- α = Rp − [Rf + βp(Rm − Rf)]
- Positive means outperformance. Zero means in line with CAPM. Negative means underperformance.
- CAPM expected return
- Expected Rp = Rf + βp(Rm − Rf)
- This is the benchmark return used inside Jensen's alpha.
- Excess return
- Excess return = Rp − Rf
- The numerator of Sharpe and Treynor.
- Fama: selectivity
- Selectivity = (Rp − Rf) − (σp ÷ σm)(Rm − Rf)
- Return for the investor's risk = (σp ÷ σm)(Rm − Rf). Selectivity is the excess return left after deducting it.
- Fama: selectivity split
- Diversification = (σp ÷ σm − βp) × (Rm − Rf); Net selectivity = Selectivity − Diversification
- Two separate relations. Jensen's alpha = Selectivity + Diversification (in the worked example, 1.4 = 0.5 + 0.9). Net selectivity = Selectivity − Diversification (0.5 − 0.9 = −0.4), so it is not equal to Jensen's alpha. A negative net selectivity means the selection return was less than the extra return required for incomplete diversification.
- Constant ratio plan target
- Target equity = Total portfolio value × equity ratio; Target debt = Total portfolio value × debt ratio
- Revise when the actual ratio moves beyond the trigger. Equity rises: sell equity and buy debt. Equity falls: buy equity and sell debt.
- Constant rupee value plan
- Target equity = fixed rupee amount; Debt = Total portfolio value − fixed equity amount
- Any equity gain above the fixed amount moves to debt. Any shortfall is topped up from debt.
- Rupee cost averaging
- Average cost per unit = Total amount invested ÷ Total units bought
- With equal amounts invested each period, this is the harmonic mean of prices, which is never above the arithmetic mean of the prices.
- CPPI cushion
- Cushion = Portfolio value − Floor
- The floor is the value you want to protect. If a question gives a guaranteed amount at a future date, the floor is usually its present value at the risk-free rate.
- CPPI equity exposure
- Equity exposure = Multiplier (m) × Cushion
- If this exceeds the portfolio value, a no-borrowing question caps equity at 100% of the portfolio.
- CPPI safe asset
- Investment in safe asset = Portfolio value − Equity exposure
- Use this to check that the two parts add back to the total.
- Payoff shape
- Constant ratio plan: concave payoff. CPPI: convex payoff.
- Constant ratio does better in oscillating, range-bound markets. CPPI does better in strongly trending markets and protects against steep falls, but does badly in whipsaw markets.
- Net Asset Value (NAV) per unit
- NAV = (Market value of investments + Receivables + Accrued income + Cash − Liabilities − Accrued expenses) ÷ Number of units outstanding
- Use market value, not cost. Deduct all liabilities and expenses due before dividing.
- Return on investment (single period)
- Return % = [(NAV₁ − NAV₀) + Distributions] ÷ NAV₀ × 100
- NAV₀ is opening NAV, NAV₁ is closing NAV. Include dividends and capital gains distributions.
- Return with loads
- Return % = [(Redemption proceeds + Distributions) − Amount invested] ÷ Amount invested × 100
- Amount invested includes entry load. Redemption proceeds are after exit load.
- Annualised return (simple)
- Annual return % = Return for the period % × (12 ÷ months held)
- Use only if the question asks for simple annualisation.
- Units after reinvestment
- Units purchased = Amount ÷ Purchase price per unit
- Use NAV (plus load if any) as the purchase price.
- Strategic vs tactical allocation
- Strategic = long-term target weights; Tactical = temporary deviation based on a market view
- Say this in one line each in theory answers.
Quick revision
- Expected return of a portfolio = Σ (weight × expected return of each security).
- Two-asset risk: σp² = w1²σ1² + w2²σ2² + 2 w1 w2 ρ σ1 σ2.
- Covariance = ρ × σ1 × σ2. Correlation lies between -1 and +1.
- Diversification removes unsystematic risk, not systematic risk.
- Portfolio beta = Σ (weight × beta of each security).
- CAPM: Required return = Rf + β × (Rm − Rf). The Security Market Line plots this against beta.
- If expected return is above the CAPM required return, the security is underpriced; if below, overpriced.
- APT uses several factors, each with its own sensitivity and risk premium, and needs no market portfolio assumption.
- Sharpe ratio = (Rp − Rf) ÷ σp. Treynor ratio = (Rp − Rf) ÷ βp.
- Alpha = actual return − return required by CAPM. A positive Alpha means outperformance.
- Passive strategy holds a diversified portfolio with little trading; active strategy tries to beat the market.
- NAV per unit = (Market value of assets − liabilities) ÷ number of units outstanding.
Common mistakes
- Not squaring the weights in the variance formula. Fix: Write the formula before substituting. The weight multiplies the SD in the SD form, and its square multiplies the variance.
- Taking portfolio SD as the weighted average of the individual SDs. Fix: That holds only when ρ = +1. Otherwise use the full variance formula with the covariance term.
- Calculating portfolio risk as the weighted average of standard deviations. Fix: Always use the variance formula with the covariance term. The weighted average of standard deviations is only the upper limit, reached when ρ = +1.
- Putting ρ in the covariance slot, or multiplying by ρ when covariance is already given. Fix: Check the data first. If covariance is given, the term is 2 × w1 × w2 × Cov12 with no further ρ or σ.
- Using Rm instead of (Rm − Rf) as the multiplier of beta. Fix: Always write the premium (Rm − Rf) as a separate line before multiplying by beta.
- Dividing covariance by market standard deviation to get beta. Fix: Beta = Cov(i, m) ÷ σm². If only standard deviations and correlation are given, use ρ × σi ÷ σm.
- Adding the risk-free rate inside each factor premium or subtracting it twice Fix: Read the wording. If the figure is a premium, use it as is. If it is a factor's total expected return, subtract Rf first.
- Taking a weighted average of standard deviations for portfolio risk Fix: Average only alpha, beta and returns. Compute portfolio risk from variances using σp² = βp² σm² + Σ w² σe².
- Using Rp instead of Rp − Rf in the numerator Fix: Always write the excess return as a separate first step before dividing.
- Dividing by beta in Sharpe or by standard deviation in Treynor Fix: Remember: Sharpe uses Standard deviation (S for S). Treynor uses beta, the systematic risk.
Exam tips
- Show the formula, the substituted values and the result as separate lines. Marks are given for method even if the final figure is slightly off.
- In case-scenario MCQs, first check whether covariance or correlation is given. Using the wrong one is the commonest trap, so keep ρ × σA × σB handy.
- Do the ρ = +1 check on every two-asset answer. If your SD is above the weighted average of the SDs, you have made an error.
- Always end a written answer with a one-line interpretation: which portfolio or security is better on return, risk or CV, and why.
- Keep SD to two decimal places in working, and avoid rounding SDs before squaring them again. Rounding early causes small mismatches.
- In case-based MCQs, read for the correlation value first. ρ = +1 means no diversification benefit, ρ = −1 allows zero risk, and anything between gives partial benefit.
- In numericals, show the covariance, the three terms of the variance and the weights separately. Marks are given for each step even if the final figure slips.
- For theory questions, keep a fixed structure: define systematic and unsystematic risk, explain how diversification works through covariance, then describe the efficient frontier and the Markowitz assumptions.