CFA Level I · CFA Level I Exam
Mortgage-Backed Security (MBS) Instrument and Market Features: formula sheet
Key formulas
- Loan-to-value ratio
- LTV = Loan amount ÷ Property value
- Lenders typically use the lower of appraised value and purchase price. Lower LTV means lower credit risk.
- Down payment
- Down payment = Property value − Loan amount; LTV = 1 − Down payment ÷ Property value
- A 20% down payment means an 80% LTV.
- Level mortgage payment
- PMT = PV × r ÷ [1 − (1 + r)^−n]
- r is the periodic rate (annual rate ÷ 12 for monthly) and n is the number of payments.
- Interest in a period
- Interest = Beginning balance × periodic rate
- Principal repaid = Payment − Interest.
- Ending balance
- Ending balance = Beginning balance − Principal repaid
- Use this to build each row of an amortization schedule.
- ARM rate
- Rate after reset = Reference rate + Margin
- Subject to periodic and lifetime caps and floors, if the loan has them.
- Pass-through rate
- Pass-through rate = WAC − servicing fee − other fees (e.g., guarantee fee)
- Fees are stated as annual rates. Investors earn the pass-through rate, never the WAC.
- Weighted average coupon (WAC)
- WAC = Σ [ (loan balance ÷ total pool balance) × loan rate ]
- Weights are outstanding balances, not the number of loans.
- Weighted average maturity (WAM)
- WAM = Σ [ (loan balance ÷ total pool balance) × remaining months to maturity ]
- Uses remaining term, not original term.
- Monthly investor interest
- Interest to investors = beginning pool balance × pass-through rate ÷ 12
- Use the balance at the start of the month. Payments are monthly.
- Investor principal
- Principal to investors = scheduled principal + prepayments
- Prepayments reduce the balance and so reduce later interest.
- SMM
- SMM = Prepayment in the month ÷ (Beginning balance − Scheduled principal payment)
- Prepayment is measured against the balance left after scheduled principal, not the beginning balance.
- CPR from SMM
- CPR = 1 − (1 − SMM)^12
- Annualizes by compounding survival, not by multiplying by 12.
- SMM from CPR
- SMM = 1 − (1 − CPR)^(1/12)
- On a calculator use the 1/12 power (y^x with 0.083333...).
- 100 PSA CPR path
- CPR = 6% × (month ÷ 30) for months 1 to 30; CPR = 6% after month 30
- Equivalent to 0.2% per month of loan age up to month 30.
- Scaled PSA
- CPR at x PSA = (x ÷ 100) × CPR at 100 PSA
- 150 PSA is 1.5 times the benchmark CPR at each age. The 6% plateau is also scaled: 150 PSA plateaus at 9%.
- Risk direction
- Rates fall → prepayments rise → contraction risk; rates rise → prepayments fall → extension risk
- Both are adverse for the investor relative to expectations; the MBS shows negative convexity.
- Sequential-pay principal rule
- Principal collected → Tranche A until its balance = 0 → then Tranche B → then Tranche C
- Interest is paid on each tranche's outstanding balance every period. Only principal is sequenced.
- Contraction risk
- Rates fall → prepayments rise → weighted average life shortens
- Reinvestment is at lower rates. Among sequential tranches, the early tranches have relatively more contraction risk and less extension risk, and the later tranches the opposite. This is a relative comparison between tranches. Within a PAC structure, support tranches bear the most prepayment risk.
- Extension risk
- Rates rise → prepayments slow → weighted average life lengthens
- Among sequential tranches, it is highest for the later tranches. Within a PAC structure, support tranches bear the most prepayment risk.
- PAC protection rule
- PAC schedule is met if prepayment speed stays inside the PAC collar and support tranches remain outstanding
- Support tranches absorb the variation. When they are paid off, PAC protection is lost.
- Risk ranking within a PAC structure
- Prepayment risk: support tranche > PAC tranche
- Total prepayment risk is redistributed, not eliminated.
- Loss allocation order
- Losses: junior tranche first → mezzanine → senior last
- Principal and interest are paid in the opposite order: senior first.
- Overcollateralization
- Overcollateralization = collateral balance − total bond balance
- Positive difference is the cushion that absorbs losses before any bond loses principal.
- Excess spread
- Excess spread = interest collected from loans − bond interest − fees
- Can be used to cover losses or build reserves.
- Subordination (credit support) level
- Credit support for a tranche = balance of all tranches junior to it ÷ total deal balance
- A higher percentage means more protection for that tranche.
- Shifting interest rule
- Senior share of prepayments = senior pro rata share + extra share set by a schedule that declines over time
- Gives the senior tranche more early principal; the shift is stopped if loss or delinquency triggers are breached.
- Debt service coverage ratio (DSCR)
- DSCR = Net operating income ÷ Debt service
- Debt service is the scheduled interest plus principal payments. Higher is safer. A DSCR below 1.0 means NOI does not cover the payments.
- Loan-to-value ratio (LTV)
- LTV = Loan amount ÷ Appraised property value
- Lower is safer. A lower LTV gives the lender a larger equity cushion if the property is sold.
- Net operating income (NOI)
- NOI = Rental income and other property income − Operating expenses
- NOI is before debt service, depreciation and income taxes.
- Loan-level vs pool-level
- CMBS: loan-level analysis; RMBS: pool-level analysis
- Commercial pools hold few, large, dissimilar loans. Residential pools hold many small, similar loans.
- Balloon payment
- Balloon = Remaining balance due at loan maturity
- Risk is that the borrower cannot refinance. For investors this shows up as extension risk and default risk.
Quick revision
- An MBS pays investors from a pool of mortgage loans: interest, scheduled principal and prepayments.
- Recourse loans let the lender claim beyond the property; non-recourse loans limit the lender to the collateral.
- Falling rates raise prepayments and cause contraction risk; rising rates slow them and cause extension risk.
- MBS have negative convexity because borrowers hold a prepayment option.
- CPR = 1 − (1 − SMM)^12, and SMM = 1 − (1 − CPR)^(1/12).
- A higher PSA speed means faster prepayments.
- CMOs redistribute prepayment risk across tranches; they do not remove it from the pool.
- Sequential tranches: earlier tranches get principal first, so they have shorter average lives.
- Non-agency RMBS rely on credit enhancement such as subordination and overcollateralization.
- Senior tranches are paid before subordinated tranches, and losses hit the subordinated tranches first.
- CMBS depend on property cash flow and usually have call protection, so prepayment risk is lower.
- CMBS loans often have balloon payments, so refinancing risk is important.
Common mistakes
- Using the annual rate in a monthly interest calculation. Fix: Divide by 12 and set n to months before computing interest or payment.
- Thinking the principal portion is level on a fixed-rate loan. Fix: The payment is level. Interest falls and principal rises each period as the balance drops.
- Using the WAC as the rate investors earn. Fix: Always subtract servicing and guarantee fees first. Investors earn the pass-through rate.
- Weighting WAC or WAM by the number of loans or the original balance. Fix: Weight by current outstanding balance. Check if the balances differ.
- Calculating CPR as SMM × 12. Fix: Use CPR = 1 − (1 − SMM)^12. The multiply-by-12 result overstates CPR.
- Dividing prepayment by the beginning balance to get SMM. Fix: Subtract scheduled principal from beginning balance, then divide.
- Saying a CMO eliminates prepayment risk. Fix: Remember the pool's total prepayment risk is unchanged. A CMO only redistributes it, so some tranches become safer and others riskier.
- Thinking only the first sequential tranche gets interest or principal. Fix: Every outstanding tranche gets interest on its balance. Only principal is paid in sequence.
- Treating non-agency RMBS as guaranteed like agency pass-throughs. Fix: Non-agency means no agency or government guarantee. Credit risk is the key risk.
- Allocating losses to the senior tranche first. Fix: Payments flow top-down, losses flow bottom-up. Junior takes the first loss.
Exam tips
- Questions often test who bears which risk. Link each feature to borrower or lender before reading the options.
- Read carefully for which value the LTV uses: appraised value or purchase price.
- For payment calculations on the TI BA II Plus, set P/Y = 12 (C/Y should also be 12; it follows P/Y by default). Then enter N = months, I/Y = annual rate, PV = loan, FV = 0, and press CPT PMT. When PV is positive, the PMT result is negative because it is a cash outflow; ignore the sign.
- With three options and no penalty for wrong answers, always answer. Eliminate any option with the wrong direction, such as interest rising over time on a level-payment loan.
- Remember that prepayment risk rises when mortgage rates fall below the loan rate.
- Expect three-option items asking which rate investors earn. The answer is the pass-through rate, below the WAC.
- Numerical options are ordered smallest to largest. Compute the fee-adjusted rate first to remove two options quickly.
- For agency versus non-agency, link guarantee to credit risk and credit enhancement to non-agency, and keep prepayment risk in both.