CFA Level I · CFA Level I Exam
Portfolio Risk and Return: Part II: formula sheet
Key formulas
- Expected return of the combined portfolio
- E(Rc) = w × E(Rp) + (1 − w) × Rf = Rf + w × [E(Rp) − Rf]
- w is the weight in the risky portfolio. w > 1 means borrowing at Rf.
- Standard deviation of the combined portfolio
- σc = w × σp
- Holds because the risk-free asset has zero standard deviation and zero covariance with the risky portfolio. Use w as a positive number here.
- CAL equation
- E(Rc) = Rf + [(E(Rp) − Rf) ÷ σp] × σc
- Slope is the Sharpe ratio of the risky portfolio. Intercept is Rf.
- Weight needed for a target risk
- w = σtarget ÷ σp
- Use this to find leverage or lending for a given standard deviation.
- Weight needed for a target return
- w = [E(Rtarget) − Rf] ÷ [E(Rp) − Rf]
- If w > 1, borrow; the risk-free weight (1 − w) is negative.
- Sharpe ratio (CAL slope)
- Sharpe = [E(Rp) − Rf] ÷ σp
- Same for every point on the CAL.
- Capital market line
- E(Rc) = Rf + [(E(RM) − Rf) ÷ σM] × σc
- A CAL where the risky portfolio is the market portfolio M.
- CML equation
- E(Rp) = Rf + [(E(Rm) − Rf) ÷ σm] × σp
- Applies to efficient portfolios made of the risk-free asset and the market portfolio. The slope is the market Sharpe ratio.
- Slope of the CML
- Slope = (E(Rm) − Rf) ÷ σm
- Extra return per unit of total risk. It is the Sharpe ratio of the market portfolio.
- Portfolio return with weight w in the market
- E(Rp) = w × E(Rm) + (1 − w) × Rf
- w > 1 means borrowing at Rf. w < 1 means lending.
- Portfolio risk with the risk-free asset
- σp = w × σm
- The risk-free asset has zero standard deviation and zero covariance with the market, so risk scales with w.
- SML (for contrast)
- E(Ri) = Rf + βi × (E(Rm) − Rf)
- Uses beta, not σ. Applies to any asset, efficient or not.
- Total risk decomposition
- Total risk = Systematic risk + Nonsystematic risk
- Systematic risk cannot be diversified away. Nonsystematic risk can.
- Market model
- Ri = αi + βi × Rm + ei
- ei is the firm-specific return with zero expected value and zero correlation with Rm.
- Variance decomposition
- σi² = βi² × σm² + σe²
- Systematic variance is βi² × σm². Nonsystematic variance is σe². Variances add, standard deviations do not.
- Proportion of systematic risk
- R² = βi² × σm² ÷ σi² = ρ(i,m)²
- R² is the share of total variance that is systematic.
- Beta
- βi = Cov(Ri, Rm) ÷ σm² = ρ(i,m) × σi ÷ σm
- Measures sensitivity to market moves.
- Equal-weighted portfolio variance
- σp² = (1 ÷ n) × avg variance + ((n − 1) ÷ n) × avg covariance
- As n grows, the first term shrinks toward zero and the average covariance remains.
- Single-index (market) model
- Ri = αi + βi·RM + ε
- One factor. ε has expected value zero and is specific to the asset.
- Beta from covariance
- β = Cov(Ri, RM) ÷ Var(RM)
- Use the same type of variance and covariance (both sample or both population). Units cancel in the ratio.
- Beta from correlation
- β = ρ(i, M) × σi ÷ σM
- Useful when you are given correlation and standard deviations.
- Alpha (intercept)
- α = mean(Ri) − β × mean(RM)
- The regression line passes through the sample means.
- R-squared
- R² = ρ² = β²·σM² ÷ σi²
- Share of asset variance explained by the market. Valid for a one-variable regression.
- Systematic and nonsystematic variance
- σi² = β²·σM² + σε²
- Systematic part is β²·σM². Nonsystematic part is σε² = (1 − R²)·σi².
- Adjusted beta (Blume-style)
- Adjusted β = (2/3) × raw β + (1/3) × 1.0
- Pulls beta toward 1. Use only if the question gives these weights or asks for adjustment.
- CAPM required return
- E(Ri) = Rf + βi × [E(Rm) − Rf]
- [E(Rm) − Rf] is the market risk premium. Use decimals or percentages consistently.
- Beta
- βi = Cov(Ri, Rm) ÷ Var(Rm) = ρ(i,m) × σi ÷ σm
- Use whichever inputs the question gives. Remember Cov(Rm, Rm) = Var(Rm), so the market beta is 1.
- Portfolio beta
- βp = Σ wi × βi
- Weights are market-value weights and sum to 1. Beta is a weighted average.
- Alpha (Jensen's)
- α = expected (or actual) return − CAPM required return
- Positive alpha means the security plots above the SML (undervalued). Negative means below (overvalued).
- SML
- Intercept = Rf; slope = E(Rm) − Rf
- x-axis is beta. The SML is a line for all securities, not only efficient portfolios.
- Utility of a portfolio (mean-variance)
- U = E(R) − 0.5 × A × σ²
- A is the risk-aversion coefficient. Higher A means more risk-averse. Use σ² as a decimal, e.g. 20% gives 0.04.
- Capital allocation line
- E(Rp) = Rf + [(E(Rm) − Rf) ÷ σm] × σp
- Slope is the Sharpe ratio of the risky portfolio. On the CML the risky portfolio is the market portfolio.
- Two-asset mix with risk-free asset
- E(Rp) = w × E(Rrisky) + (1 − w) × Rf; σp = w × σrisky
- The risk-free asset has zero standard deviation, so its covariance with any risky asset is zero (correlation is not defined). w above 1 means borrowing.
- Optimal weight in risky portfolio
- w* = [E(Rrisky) − Rf] ÷ (A × σ²risky)
- Maximizes U on the CAL. Higher A gives smaller w*.
- Tangency rule
- Optimal point: indifference curve slope = frontier (or CAL) slope
- Tangent to the highest feasible indifference curve.
Quick revision
- CAL: E(Rp) = Rf + [(E(Ri) − Rf) ÷ σi] × σp, where Ri is the risky portfolio. Equivalently, E(Rp) = Rf + w × [E(Ri) − Rf], where w is the weight in the risky portfolio.
- The CML uses the market portfolio and plots return against total risk (standard deviation).
- CML slope = [E(Rm) − Rf] ÷ σm.
- Total risk = systematic risk + nonsystematic risk.
- Diversification removes nonsystematic risk; systematic risk remains and is priced.
- Beta = Cov(Ri, Rm) ÷ Var(Rm).
- CAPM: E(Ri) = Rf + βi × [E(Rm) − Rf].
- The SML plots required return against beta; the market portfolio has a beta of 1.
- A security above the SML is undervalued; below it is overvalued.
- Sharpe ratio = (Rp − Rf) ÷ σp; Treynor ratio = (Rp − Rf) ÷ βp.
- Jensen's alpha = Rp − [Rf + βp × (Rm − Rf)].
- M² = Rp* − Rm, where Rp* = Rf + (Sharpe ratio of the portfolio × σm). Equivalently, M² = (Sharpe_p − Sharpe_m) × σm. It is the excess return over the market at equal risk.
Common mistakes
- Using σc = w × σp with w as the risk-free weight. Fix: Always convert to the risky weight first: w = 1 − wf. Standard deviation scales with the risky weight only.
- Calculating portfolio standard deviation as a weighted average including the risk-free asset's term or with a correlation. Fix: The risk-free asset has zero variance and zero covariance, so the formula collapses to σc = w × σp.
- Using beta on the CML x-axis Fix: CML: σ on the x-axis, efficient portfolios only. SML: β on the x-axis, any asset.
- Thinking riskier investors hold a different risky portfolio Fix: Everyone holds the same risky portfolio. Only the mix between it and Rf changes.
- Saying a large portfolio has zero risk. Fix: Diversification removes only nonsystematic risk. Systematic risk remains.
- Adding standard deviations instead of variances. Fix: Add variances, then take the square root of the total.
- Dividing covariance by the asset's variance instead of the market's variance. Fix: Beta measures sensitivity to the market. The market is the independent variable, so Var(RM) goes in the denominator.
- Using beta as a measure of total risk. Fix: Beta captures only systematic risk. Total risk needs σi, which includes nonsystematic variance.
- Multiplying beta by the market return instead of the market risk premium Fix: Always subtract Rf first. Beta multiplies [E(Rm) − Rf].
- Calling a stock with a high expected return undervalued without comparing to its required return Fix: Compare with the SML return for that beta. A high-beta stock needs a high return.
Exam tips
- Numerical options run from smallest to largest. Compute w first, then return and risk, and match the value asked for.
- Use the sense-check: lending keeps both measures below the risky portfolio's, borrowing pushes both above. This can eliminate two options in seconds.
- Watch the wording: 'borrows 40% of his own capital' means w = 1.4. 'Invests 40% in the risk-free asset' means w = 0.6.
- Conceptual items often ask what changes along a CAL. Answer: return and risk change, the Sharpe ratio does not.
- If asked which CAL is better, pick the higher slope. No calculator keystrokes are needed beyond basic arithmetic.
- If the question mentions total risk or standard deviation with efficient portfolios, use the CML. If it mentions beta, use the SML.
- Remember the separation theorem as: one risky portfolio for all, the amount depends on risk aversion.
- Weights above 1 signal borrowing. Use that to rule out options fast.