CFA Level III · Private Markets Pathway
Private Real Estate Investments: formula sheet
Key formulas
- Levered return (single period)
- Levered return = [Property return × Total assets − Interest rate × Debt] ÷ Equity
- Equivalent to r_property + (Debt ÷ Equity) × (r_property − interest rate). Use when the question asks for the effect of leverage.
- Loan-to-value (LTV)
- LTV = Loan amount ÷ Property value
- Higher LTV means more leverage and more risk for the lender and the equity owner.
- Debt service coverage ratio (DSCR)
- DSCR = Net operating income ÷ Debt service
- Debt service is interest plus scheduled principal. Higher means more safety for the lender.
- Net operating income (NOI)
- NOI = Rental income + other income − vacancy losses − operating expenses
- Excludes depreciation, interest and income taxes.
- Direct capitalization value
- Value = NOI₁ ÷ Cap rate
- Use forward (next-year) NOI if the cap rate is defined that way. Read the question to see which NOI is given.
- Cap rate from a discount rate
- Cap rate = Discount rate − Growth rate (constant growth in NOI)
- Holds for a perpetual, constant growth in NOI. A higher growth rate lowers the cap rate and raises value.
- Cap rate from market evidence
- Cap rate = NOI ÷ Sale price
- Taken from comparable sold properties with similar risk, then applied to the subject property.
- Net operating income
- NOI = Potential gross income − Vacancy and collection loss + Other income − Operating expenses
- NOI is before debt service, income taxes, depreciation and capital expenditures.
- DCF value
- Value = Σ [NOIₜ ÷ (1 + r)ᵗ] + Terminal value ÷ (1 + r)ⁿ
- Terminal value is often NOIₙ₊₁ ÷ terminal cap rate, less selling costs if stated.
- Cost approach value
- Value = Land value + (Replacement cost new − Accumulated depreciation)
- Depreciation covers physical deterioration, functional obsolescence and external obsolescence.
- Effective gross income (EGI)
- EGI = Potential gross income − Vacancy and collection losses + Other income
- Start of the NOI build-up. Use the order the question gives.
- Net operating income
- NOI = EGI − Operating expenses
- Exclude debt service, depreciation, income tax and capital expenditures.
- Cap rate
- Cap rate = NOI ÷ Property value
- Use the NOI definition that matches the market comparables, usually first-year NOI.
- Direct capitalization value
- Value = NOI ÷ Cap rate
- Use forward (next year's) NOI when the cap rate is based on forward NOI.
- Cap rate and growth
- Cap rate ≈ Discount rate − Growth rate of NOI
- Holds approximately for a constant long-run growth rate.
- Gross income multiplier
- GIM = Value ÷ Gross income; Value = GIM × Gross income
- Ignores expense and vacancy differences, so it is cruder than a cap rate.
- Terminal value
- Terminal value at year N = NOI in year N+1 ÷ Terminal cap rate
- Net of selling costs if the question gives them.
- DCF value
- Value = Σ NOIt ÷ (1 + r)^t + Terminal value ÷ (1 + r)^N
- r is the discount rate, not the cap rate.
- Total return (single period)
- Total return = (NOI + (Ending value − Beginning value)) ÷ Beginning value
- Equals income return plus capital return. Use consistent NOI and values for the same period. Ignores capital expenditures unless you adjust for them.
- Income and capital return split
- Income return = NOI ÷ Beginning value; Capital return = (Ending value − Beginning value) ÷ Beginning value
- The two parts add to total return.
- Appraisal smoothing model
- Reported return(t) = α × True return(t) + (1 − α) × Reported return(t−1)
- α is between 0 and 1. A smaller α means more smoothing. Unsmoothing with this model is a possible exam application, but it is not confirmed whether a calculation will be tested, so learn the mechanics and understand what the model implies.
- Unsmoothing (de-smoothing) a return series
- True return(t) = [Reported return(t) − (1 − α) × Reported return(t−1)] ÷ α
- Rearranged from the smoothing model. Unsmoothed volatility is higher than reported volatility when α < 1.
- Effect of smoothing on standard deviation
- σ(true) ≈ σ(reported) × √((2 − α) ÷ α), assuming serially uncorrelated true returns under the first-order smoothing model
- Derived from σ²(reported) = α × σ²(true) ÷ (2 − α). Only an approximation. Equivalently, σ(reported) ÷ σ(true) = √(α ÷ (2 − α)), also approximate. The key point is the direction: unsmoothing raises volatility.
- Loan-to-value
- LTV = Loan amount ÷ Property value
- Lower is safer for the lender. Use appraised value or purchase price as the question states.
- Debt service coverage ratio
- DSCR = NOI ÷ Debt service
- Debt service = interest plus scheduled principal for the year. A DSCR below 1.0 means NOI cannot cover payments.
- Debt yield
- Debt yield = NOI ÷ Loan amount
- Ignores interest rate and amortization, so loans can be compared on income alone.
- Interest coverage ratio
- Interest coverage = NOI ÷ Interest expense
- Like DSCR but excludes principal repayment.
- Levered return (one period)
- Equity return = [Property return × Total assets − Interest rate × Debt] ÷ Equity
- Equivalent form: r_E = r_P + (D ÷ E) × (r_P − r_D), where r_P is the property return and r_D the cost of debt, both on the same basis.
- Equity and debt link
- Equity = Property value − Loan amount
- Debt-to-equity D ÷ E = LTV ÷ (1 − LTV).
- Loan amount from a DSCR limit
- Maximum debt service = NOI ÷ Minimum DSCR
- Then convert to a loan size using the payment factor or interest rate.
- Total return of a property
- Total return = income return + capital return
- Income return = NOI ÷ beginning value. Capital return = (ending value − beginning value) ÷ beginning value. Before leverage and fees.
- Equity return with leverage (approximate)
- Levered return ≈ unlevered return + (D ÷ E) × (unlevered return − cost of debt)
- D ÷ E is debt to equity. Leverage helps only when the unlevered return exceeds the cost of debt. Use the same pre-tax basis throughout.
- Net return after fees
- Net return = gross return − fees and costs (as a percent of the same base)
- Make sure fees are measured on the same base, such as invested equity, before subtracting.
- Smoothing effect on volatility
- Unsmoothed volatility > reported appraisal-based volatility
- Rule of direction only. Unsmoothing raises estimated volatility and correlation with other assets.
Quick revision
- NOI = effective gross income minus operating expenses, before debt service and income tax.
- Value by direct capitalization = NOI ÷ cap rate.
- Cap rate = NOI ÷ value, so a higher cap rate means a lower value for the same NOI.
- Use forward-looking NOI consistently with how the cap rate was derived.
- Main approaches: income, sales comparison and cost.
- Cost approach is weakest for older or unusual properties.
- Appraisal-based indexes are smoothed and lag, so volatility and correlations look too low.
- Leverage magnifies gains and losses; it helps only if property return exceeds the cost of debt.
- Lenders look at loan-to-value and debt service coverage.
- Private real estate is illiquid, so check the client's liquidity needs first.
- Real estate can diversify, but reported diversification is overstated by smoothing.
- Tie every recommendation to objectives and constraints.
Common mistakes
- Saying private real estate is diversified because it is a real asset. Fix: A single property is concentrated in one location and type. Diversification needs a pool of properties.
- Treating appraisal-based returns as true market volatility. Fix: Say that appraisals lag and smooth returns, so risk is understated and correlations look lower than reality.
- Subtracting debt service or depreciation when calculating NOI Fix: NOI is before debt service, income taxes, depreciation and capital expenditures. Only operating expenses and vacancy come off.
- Using the wrong year's NOI with the cap rate Fix: Match NOI to the cap rate definition. If the cap rate is applied to forward NOI, use year-1 NOI.
- Deducting interest, depreciation or income tax when computing NOI. Fix: NOI is before financing, depreciation and taxes. Deduct only operating expenses.
- Using the discount rate as the cap rate. Fix: Cap rate ≈ discount rate − growth. They are equal only when NOI growth is zero.
- Saying appraisal smoothing raises volatility. Fix: Smoothing lowers reported volatility and correlation. Unsmoothing raises them.
- Treating repeat sales and hedonic indexes as the same thing. Fix: Repeat sales compares prices of the same property over time. Hedonic uses a regression across different properties with their characteristics.
- Using total debt payments over several years, or monthly payments, against annual NOI. Fix: Convert to an annual figure first. Then divide annual NOI by annual debt service.
- Using net income or cash flow after capital items instead of NOI in DSCR. Fix: Use NOI as given unless the question states another income measure.
Exam tips
- Always tie each answer to a stated client objective or constraint; generic feature lists lose points.
- For calculations, show the interest cost and equity base so a slip still shows method.
- Know the trade-offs by form: direct (control, concentration, illiquid), pooled (diversified, fees), public (liquid, equity-like volatility).
- Answer only as many points as asked; extra responses are not evaluated.
- Read the command word. 'Calculate' needs a number; 'justify' needs a reason tied to the property and data.
- In essays, a correct number typed on its own earns full credit for a calculation, so type the number and move on.
- Check which NOI year and which cap rate the question uses before dividing.
- When asked to choose an approach, name the property type and the data availability in one sentence each.