FRM Part II · FRM Exam Part II
The Global Drivers of Private Credit: formula sheet
Key formulas
- Illiquidity premium
- Private credit yield ≈ comparable public credit yield + illiquidity premium + complexity premium
- A conceptual relationship, not a computed identity. Higher yield compensates for illiquidity, limited transparency and bespoke terms.
- Seniority ladder (loss order)
- Senior secured debt → unitranche → mezzanine → equity
- Losses hit equity first, then mezzanine, then senior. Higher in the ladder means lower expected return and lower risk.
- Floating-rate all-in coupon
- Coupon = reference rate + spread
- Direct loans are usually floating. Rising reference rates raise borrower interest burden and default risk.
- Interest coverage ratio
- ICR = EBITDA ÷ interest expense
- Common covenant and stress metric. A lower ICR signals weaker ability to service debt.
- Capital ratio
- Capital ratio = Regulatory capital ÷ Risk-weighted assets (RWA)
- Higher risk weights on leveraged loans raise RWA, so the bank needs more capital for the same loan.
- Leverage ratio
- Leverage ratio = Tier 1 capital ÷ Total exposure measure
- Not risk-based. The Basel III minimum is 3%. It limits balance sheet size regardless of loan risk.
- Return on regulatory capital
- Return on capital = Net income from loan ÷ Capital allocated to loan
- Capital allocated = Loan amount × risk weight × required capital ratio. Used to explain why banks retreat.
- Liquidity ratios
- LCR = High-quality liquid assets ÷ Net cash outflows over 30 days ≥ 100%; NSFR = Available stable funding ÷ Required stable funding ≥ 100%
- These raise the funding cost of holding long, illiquid loans.
- Comparison rule: private credit vs BSL
- Private credit = faster, committed, bespoke, confidential, but higher spread and less liquid
- Use this as the standard answer to any advantages question. Always include the cost side.
- All-in cost of a floating-rate loan
- Interest rate = Base rate + Spread
- The spread is the lender's credit and illiquidity compensation. The base rate moves with policy rates.
- Interest coverage ratio
- ICR = EBITDA ÷ Interest expense
- Falls when base rates rise on floating-rate debt. Lenders and sponsors watch it for leveraged borrowers.
- Illiquidity premium (concept)
- Private credit spread ≈ comparable public credit spread + illiquidity premium + complexity premium
- A framing rule, not an exact formula. Use it to explain why private loans yield more than similar public bonds.
- Floating-rate loan yield
- Loan yield = base rate (e.g. SOFR) + credit spread
- Most direct loans are floating. When the base rate rises, income rises, which supports investor demand.
- Excess yield over safe assets
- Yield pickup = private credit yield − government bond yield
- Search for yield is strongest when the safe yield is low and the pickup looks large.
- Asset-liability match (concept)
- Long-dated liabilities → capacity to hold illiquid assets
- Pensions and insurers with predictable payouts and few redemption risks can hold illiquid loans.
- Floating-rate coupon
- Coupon = Reference rate + Spread
- Reference rate resets; spread is fixed at origination. A floor may stop the reference rate from falling below a set level.
- Interest coverage ratio
- ICR = EBITDA ÷ Interest expense
- A rate rise lifts the denominator, so ICR falls. Lower ICR means higher PD.
- Debt service burden
- Interest expense = Debt × (Reference rate + Spread)
- Use for a quick stress on one borrower or a portfolio.
- Expected loss
- EL = PD × LGD × EAD
- Rising rates mainly push PD up. PIK interest also raises EAD.
- Net spread after losses
- Net yield ≈ Coupon − Expected loss − Fees
- Compare the rise in coupon with the rise in expected loss.
- Levered fund net return
- Equity return ≈ Asset yield + (Debt ÷ Equity) × (Asset yield − Funding cost)
- Higher funding cost reduces the leverage benefit.
- Interest coverage ratio
- ICR = EBITDA ÷ interest expense
- Falls when floating rates rise on leveraged borrowers. Lower ICR means higher default risk.
- Leverage multiplier (fund level)
- Assets ÷ equity = 1 + (debt ÷ equity)
- A fund with debt/equity of 1.0 has assets of 2 times equity. A fall of x% in assets cuts equity by about 2x%.
- Equity loss from asset loss
- Equity loss % = asset loss % × (assets ÷ equity)
- Ignores financing costs. Use it to show how fund leverage magnifies valuation write-downs.
- Liquidity mismatch test
- Liquid assets + undrawn committed funding vs. potential redemptions + margin calls + credit line drawdowns
- A shortfall means the fund may need forced sales or may draw on bank lines.
Quick revision
- Private credit is lending by non-bank lenders outside public markets and bank balance sheets.
- Post-crisis rules raised the cost of some bank lending, and non-banks filled part of the gap.
- Borrowers value speed, certainty of execution and tailored terms.
- Private equity sponsors are major users of private credit for buyouts.
- Institutional investors seek yield and diversification and accept lower liquidity.
- Floating-rate loans can look attractive when policy rates rise.
- Higher rates raise borrowers' interest burden and can strain coverage ratios.
- Private loans are held at model-based values, so transparency is limited.
- Illiquid assets paired with redemption rights create a liquidity mismatch.
- Banks are linked to private credit through lending to funds and other exposures.
- Rapid growth with limited data makes risk hard for supervisors to assess.
- In scenarios, name the driver first, then trace the effect.
Common mistakes
- Treating private credit as the same as syndicated bank loans. Fix: Remember who holds the loan. Private credit is negotiated with a small group of non-bank lenders and held; syndicated loans are arranged by banks and can trade.
- Assuming all private credit is senior and safe. Fix: Mezzanine is subordinated and distressed buys stressed debt. Always check seniority.
- Saying Basel III banned leveraged lending. Fix: Basel III raised capital and liquidity costs. Banks chose to reduce activity because returns fell.
- Treating regulation as the only cause of private credit growth. Fix: Add demand from sponsors and investor search for yield in a low-rate world.
- Saying private credit is cheaper than syndicated loans. Fix: Remember borrowers typically pay a higher spread for speed, certainty and flexibility.
- Mixing demand-side and supply-side drivers. Fix: Demand side is what borrowers and sponsors want. Supply side is investor capital, search for yield and fundraising.
- Calling bank retrenchment a supply-side driver from institutions. Fix: Keep them separate: institutional capital and search for yield are about investors supplying funds; bank retrenchment is about regulation pushing lending out of banks.
- Saying higher interest rates always reduce private credit inflows. Fix: Remember loans are mostly floating. Higher rates raise coupon income, so the asset can stay attractive. State the effect on borrowers' debt service as a separate risk.
- Treating floating-rate private loans like fixed-rate bonds that lose price when rates rise. Fix: Floating loans reset, so duration is near zero. The risk shifts to borrower credit quality.
- Saying rising rates are purely positive for private credit lenders. Fix: Always net the higher coupon against higher PD, restructuring and PIK. Gross yield is not net return.
Exam tips
- Expect scenario questions that describe a loan and ask you to name the strategy. Read seniority and borrower health first.
- Know the contrast with banks and syndicated loans: holder, liquidity, regulation, and execution speed.
- Link growth to post-crisis bank regulation and investor search for yield, not to a single cause.
- Watch for absolute words such as always, never or risk-free; they usually signal a wrong option.
- If asked about risks, name illiquidity, valuation opacity, credit risk and fund leverage.
- Name the exact Basel III element (capital, leverage ratio, LCR, NSFR) rather than writing generic regulation.
- Expect case-style questions asking for the best explanation. Choose the answer that combines regulation and investor demand.
- Read for risk migration. Correct options usually say risk shifts to non-banks and links back to banks.