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FRM Part II · FRM Exam Part II · Case Study: Financial Crime and Fraud

A bank's transaction monitoring system generated 4,000 alerts in a quarter. Analysts closed 3,800 as false positives and escalated 200 for investigation, of which 50 resulted in suspicious activity reports (SARs) being filed. What are the false positive rate of alerts and the SAR conversion rate of alerts, respectively?

The false positive rate is 95% because 3,800 of 4,000 alerts were closed as non-suspicious. The SAR conversion rate relative to all alerts is 1.25% because 50 of 4,000 led to filings. The 25% figure would be conversion of escalated cases only.

  1. A95% and 1.25%Correct
  2. B95% and 25%
  3. C5% and 1.25%
  4. D5% and 25%

Explanation

False positive rate = 3,800/4,000 = 95%. SAR conversion of alerts = 50/4,000 = 1.25%. The 25% figure is 50/200, which is the conversion of escalated cases, not of all alerts. The 5% is the escalation rate, 200/4,000.

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