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CFA Level I · CFA Level I Exam · Yield-Based Bond Convexity and Portfolio Properties

A callable bond has an effective duration of 4.0 and effective convexity of -60. An analyst estimates the percentage price change for a 100 bp decrease in yield using duration and convexity. The estimate is closest to:

The estimated price change is about +3.70%. Duration contributes +4.00% (4.0 x 1%), and negative convexity subtracts 0.30% (0.5 x -60 x 0.0001). Ignoring convexity gives 4.00%, and treating convexity as positive gives 4.30%.

  1. A+3.70%Correct
  2. B+4.00%
  3. C+4.30%

Explanation

Change = -D x dY + 0.5 x C x dY^2 = 4.0 x 0.01 + 0.5 x (-60) x 0.0001 = 0.0400 - 0.0030 = 0.0370, or +3.70%. Using +4.00% ignores convexity, and +4.30% wrongly adds the convexity term as if it were positive.

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