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CFA Level I · CFA Level I Exam · Monetary Policy

A country's central bank is widely believed to be credible, and it announces a gradual disinflation path. Compared with a bank lacking credibility, it most likely faces:

A credible central bank most likely faces a smaller output loss, because its announcement lowers inflation expectations, which feed into wage and price setting. Without credibility, expectations stay high and disinflation requires more economic slack and a larger output sacrifice.

  1. Aa larger output loss because wage setters ignore announcements
  2. Ba smaller output loss because expectations adjust with the announcementCorrect
  3. Cthe same output loss because expectations never influence wages

Explanation

Credible policy lets inflation expectations fall quickly, so wage and price setting adjusts and disinflation is less costly in lost output. A bank lacking credibility must rely on actual slack to lower expectations.

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