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FRM Part I · FRM Exam Part I · Machine-Learning Methods

A risk analyst has a dataset of 20,000 past retail loans, each labelled with whether the borrower defaulted within 12 months, and wants a model that predicts default for new applicants. Which type of machine learning does this describe?

This is supervised learning, because every historical loan carries a known default label and the model learns to map borrower characteristics to that outcome in order to predict default for new applicants. Unsupervised methods have no labelled target.

  1. ASupervised learningCorrect
  2. BUnsupervised learning
  3. CReinforcement learning
  4. DDimensionality reduction

Explanation

The data contain labelled outcomes (default or not), and the aim is to learn a mapping from borrower features to that label. This is supervised learning. Unsupervised learning has no labelled target and looks for structure such as clusters.

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