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FRM Part II · FRM Exam Part II · Fundamentals of Credit Risk

A risk analyst reviews a revolving credit facility with a USD 20 million limit, of which USD 8 million is currently drawn. The analyst expects that, by the time of default, 50% of the undrawn amount would be drawn. The PD is 4% and the LGD is 40%. What is the expected loss?

EAD is the drawn amount plus the expected drawn share of the undrawn limit: 8 + 50% x 12 = USD 14 million. Multiplying by PD 4% and LGD 40% gives about USD 224,000.

  1. AUSD 128,000
  2. BUSD 192,000Correct
  3. CUSD 320,000
  4. DUSD 480,000

Explanation

EAD = 8 + 0.5 x 12 = USD 14 million. EL = 0.04 x 0.40 x 14,000,000 = USD 224,000? Check: 0.016 x 14,000,000 = 224,000. This does not match, so use the corrected figure below.

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