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CFA Level I · CFA Level I Exam · Estimation and Hypothesis Testing

An analyst estimates a sample correlation of 0.40 between two asset returns using 27 paired observations and tests the null hypothesis that the population correlation is zero. The calculated t-statistic and the most likely conclusion at the 5% significance level (two-tailed critical value of 2.060 for 25 degrees of freedom) are:

The t-statistic is 2.18, which exceeds the critical value of 2.060, so the analyst rejects the null hypothesis of zero correlation. It is computed as 0.40 times the square root of 25 divided by the square root of 0.84.

  1. At = 2.18; fail to reject the null hypothesis
  2. Bt = 2.18; reject the null hypothesisCorrect
  3. Ct = 2.18 is not valid because the correlation must exceed 0.5; reject the null hypothesis

Explanation

t = r√(n-2)/√(1-r²) = 0.40×√25/√0.84 = 2.0/0.9165 = 2.18. This exceeds 2.060, so the null of zero correlation is rejected. The third option invents a requirement and is incorrect.

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