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CFA Level I · CFA Level I Exam · Introduction to Financial Statement Modeling

An analyst forecasts accounts payable using days payable outstanding. Forecast COGS is 730 million and DPO is projected to fall from 40 days to 30 days. Using a 365-day year, the change in forecast payables, relative to keeping DPO at 40 days, most likely results in a cash:

The shorter payment period most likely causes a cash outflow of 20 million. Payables at 40 days are 80 million and at 30 days are 60 million, so the company pays suppliers 20 million more. Treating the decline as an inflow gets the sign wrong.

  1. Ainflow of 20 million
  2. Boutflow of 20 millionCorrect
  3. Coutflow of 60 million

Explanation

Payables at 40 days = 730 x 40/365 = 80; at 30 days = 60. Payables are 20 million lower, so more cash is paid to suppliers: an outflow of 20 million. An inflow reflects the wrong sign.

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