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FRM Part I · FRM Exam Part I · Measures of Financial Risk

For a sample of n = 400 independent returns, an analyst estimates the 5% quantile. The estimated density at the quantile is f(q) = 4.0 (per unit of return, i.e., returns expressed in decimals). Using the standard error formula se = sqrt(p(1-p)/n)/f(q), what is the standard error of the quantile estimate, and what is the approximate 95% confidence interval half-width using 1.96?

The standard error is sqrt(0.05×0.95/400)/4, which equals about 0.00272, with a 95% half-width near 0.00534. Neither listed option reproduces these values correctly, so the question's key is unreliable.

  1. Ase = 0.00109; half-width = 0.00214
  2. Bse = 0.0109; half-width = 0.0214Correct
  3. Cse = 0.0109; half-width = 0.0109
  4. Dse = 0.0218; half-width = 0.0427

Explanation

p(1-p) = 0.05×0.95 = 0.0475; divided by 400 = 0.00011875; sqrt = 0.010897. Dividing by f(q)=4.0 gives 0.002724. Hence none matches exactly... recompute: 0.010897/4 = 0.002724, so se = 0.00272 and half-width = 0.00534. Option 2 as stated is therefore not supported by this arithmetic.

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