FRM Part I · FRM Exam Part I · Measures of Financial Risk
For a sample of n = 400 independent returns, an analyst estimates the 5% quantile. The estimated density at the quantile is f(q) = 4.0 (per unit of return, i.e., returns expressed in decimals). Using the standard error formula se = sqrt(p(1-p)/n)/f(q), what is the standard error of the quantile estimate, and what is the approximate 95% confidence interval half-width using 1.96?
The standard error is sqrt(0.05×0.95/400)/4, which equals about 0.00272, with a 95% half-width near 0.00534. Neither listed option reproduces these values correctly, so the question's key is unreliable.
- Ase = 0.00109; half-width = 0.00214
- Bse = 0.0109; half-width = 0.0214Correct
- Cse = 0.0109; half-width = 0.0109
- Dse = 0.0218; half-width = 0.0427
Explanation
p(1-p) = 0.05×0.95 = 0.0475; divided by 400 = 0.00011875; sqrt = 0.010897. Dividing by f(q)=4.0 gives 0.002724. Hence none matches exactly... recompute: 0.010897/4 = 0.002724, so se = 0.00272 and half-width = 0.00534. Option 2 as stated is therefore not supported by this arithmetic.
Did you get it right without looking?
One question tells you little. A timed set on Measures of Financial Risk shows your real accuracy, how long you take and where you lose marks.
More Measures of Financial Risk questions
- A bank holds two independent loans, each of USD 10 million. Each defaults with probability 4% over the year, causing a total loss of the USD…
- A risk committee wants a risk measure that is coherent and gives more weight to larger losses by weighting quantiles. Which approach matches…
- Which statement about expected shortfall (ES) and VaR is correct?
- A portfolio's one-period loss is normally distributed with mean 0 and standard deviation 10 (in USD million). Using the normal distribution,…
- A portfolio's one-day profit and loss is normally distributed with mean zero and standard deviation of USD 2.00 million. Using the normal di…
- A risk manager builds a spectral risk measure as a weighted average of the quantiles of a loss distribution. Which condition on the weightin…