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CMA Final · Strategic Financial Management · The International Financial Environment

India's annual inflation is expected to be 6% and US inflation 2%. The current spot rate is Rs 80/USD. Using relative purchasing power parity, what is the expected spot rate after one year (nearest rupee-paise)?

Relative purchasing power parity gives expected spot as current spot multiplied by the ratio of one plus domestic inflation to one plus foreign inflation. So 80 x 1.06/1.02 equals about Rs 83.14 per dollar, reflecting rupee depreciation due to higher Indian inflation.

  1. ARs 83.14Correct
  2. BRs 76.92
  3. CRs 84.00
  4. DRs 83.20

Explanation

Expected spot = 80 x 1.06 / 1.02 = 84.80 / 1.02 = 83.137, i.e. Rs 83.14. Rs 84.00 wrongly subtracts the inflation differential by simple addition (4% of 80 = 3.20 gives 83.20 is the approximation, not exact). Rs 83.20 is that approximation. Rs 76.92 inverts the ratio.

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