CFA Level I · CFA Level I Exam · Mortgage-Backed Security (MBS) Instrument and Market Features
Interest rates fall sharply, and borrowers in a pool of 30-year fixed-rate mortgages refinance in large numbers. For an investor in the pass-through security backed by that pool, the most likely result is:
When rates fall and refinancing surges, prepayments speed up, shortening the pool's average life. This is contraction risk: investors get principal back early and reinvest at lower yields, which also caps the price gain that a falling-rate environment would normally give. Extension risk arises when rates rise.
- Aa shortened average life and contraction risk, limiting price appreciationCorrect
- Ban extended average life and extension risk, increasing price depreciation
- Can unchanged average life because scheduled principal is fixed
Explanation
Falling rates raise prepayments, so principal returns sooner and must be reinvested at lower rates; this is contraction risk. Extension risk occurs when rates rise and prepayments slow. Scheduled principal is only part of the cash flow, so average life does change.
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