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FRM Part I · FRM Exam Part I · Multivariate Random Variables

The joint density of continuous variables X and Y is f(x,y) = x + y for 0 ≤ x ≤ 1 and 0 ≤ y ≤ 1, and zero elsewhere. What is P(Y ≤ 0.5 | X = 0.5)?

The conditional probability is 0.375. The marginal density of X at 0.5 is 1, so the conditional density of Y is 0.5 + y, and integrating this from 0 to 0.5 gives 0.25 plus 0.125, which is 0.375.

  1. A0.125
  2. B0.375Correct
  3. C0.500
  4. D0.625

Explanation

The marginal density is f_X(x)=∫0^1 (x+y)dy = x+0.5, so f_X(0.5)=1. The conditional density is f(y|0.5)=(0.5+y)/1. Integrating from 0 to 0.5 gives 0.25+0.125=0.375. The value 0.125 is the joint probability P(X≤0.5,Y≤0.5), and 0.625 is the complement.

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