FRM Part II · FRM Exam Part II · Country Risk: Determinants, Measures, and Implications
Which statement best describes a key limitation of using the sovereign default spread alone as the country risk premium for equities?
The main limitation is that equities are more volatile than sovereign bonds, so the default spread tends to understate the premium equity investors demand. That is why practitioners often scale the spread by the ratio of equity to bond volatility.
- AEquity markets are generally more volatile than government bond markets, so using the bond spread may understate the premium equity investors requireCorrect
- BThe default spread is unobservable for countries that issue debt in foreign currency
- CThe default spread always exceeds the true equity country risk premium
- DThe default spread incorporates only mature-market risk
Explanation
Equities are riskier than the sovereign bonds, so a premium based on the bond spread alone tends to understate equity risk; scaling by relative volatility addresses this. The spread is observable for foreign-currency bonds, it is not always larger than the equity premium, and it does reflect country-specific risk rather than only mature-market risk.
Did you get it right without looking?
One question tells you little. A timed set on Country Risk: Determinants, Measures, and Implications shows your real accuracy, how long you take and where you lose marks.
More Country Risk: Determinants, Measures, and Implications questions
- A sovereign has a bond yielding 7.5% in US dollars. The US Treasury bond of the same maturity yields 4.0%. Historical data suggest an annual…
- A risk analyst at a bank reviews a emerging-market sovereign whose government debt is mostly denominated in US dollars, while its tax revenu…
- A bank uses a sovereign rating-based approach to estimate country risk premiums. A Baa-rated country has a 10-year government bond yield of …
- A bank uses the approximation that a sovereign CDS spread equals the annual default probability times loss given default (the credit triangl…
- An analyst notes that sovereign rating agencies' actions often lag market indicators such as credit default swap spreads and bond yields. Wh…
- An analyst at a global bank wants a forward-looking, market-based gauge of the default risk of a emerging-market government. Which of the fo…