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FRM Part II · FRM Exam Part II · Madoff: A Riot of Red Flags

Why does a Ponzi scheme such as Madoff's typically collapse during a market crisis or a wave of redemptions?

A Ponzi scheme pays redemptions from new investor deposits rather than real profits. When a crisis cuts inflows and increases withdrawal requests, cash runs out and obligations cannot be met, which is how Madoff's scheme collapsed in late 2008.

  1. ARegulators automatically freeze all hedge funds in a crisis
  2. BPayments to redeeming investors depend on new inflows, so when inflows fall below redemptions the scheme cannot meet its obligationsCorrect
  3. COption premiums become too cheap to fund the strategy
  4. DInvestors' reported returns suddenly turn negative from trading losses

Explanation

A Ponzi scheme earns no genuine returns, so redemptions are funded by new investor money. In a crisis, inflows dry up and redemption requests surge, creating a liquidity gap that cannot be closed. The other options do not describe the mechanism.

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