ACCA Applied Skills · Financial Management
Allowing for inflation and taxation in DCF: formula sheet
Key formulas
- Fisher formula
- (1 + i) = (1 + r) × (1 + h)
- i = money (nominal) rate, r = real rate, h = general inflation rate. Use decimals.
- Money rate from real rate
- i = (1 + r) × (1 + h) − 1
- Use this when you have a real rate and inflation and need the rate for money cash flows.
- Real rate from money rate
- r = (1 + i) ÷ (1 + h) − 1
- Use this when you have a money rate such as WACC and need to discount real cash flows.
- Inflating a cash flow
- Money cash flow in year n = current price cash flow × (1 + inflation)^n
- Use the inflation rate that applies to that specific cash flow. Year 1 is inflated by one year.
- Consistency rule
- Money cash flows ÷ money rate; real cash flows ÷ real rate
- Never discount money flows at a real rate or real flows at a money rate.
- Inflating a cash flow
- Money cash flow in year n = current-price cash flow × (1 + i)ⁿ
- Use the specific rate i for that item. If the base is 'year 1 prices', inflate only from year 1, so the exponent is n − 1.
- Fisher relationship
- (1 + money rate) = (1 + real rate) × (1 + general inflation rate)
- Multiply the factors. Do not simply add the rates. Rearrange to find the real rate or inflation rate.
- Money method rule
- Money (inflated) cash flows ÷ money discount rate
- Required whenever cash flows have different specific inflation rates.
- Real method rule
- Real (current-price) cash flows ÷ real discount rate
- Valid only if every cash flow rises at the general inflation rate.
- Net cash flow
- Net cash flow = inflated receipts − inflated payments
- Inflate each line separately first, then net them. Netting first hides different inflation rates.
- Tax on operating cash flow
- Tax = Operating cash flow × tax rate
- This is the simple version. It applies when you work with cash flows and allowances separately. Tax on profits is a cash outflow. A tax-allowable loss may give relief if the question says so.
- Tax saved on allowance
- Tax saving = TAD × tax rate
- The allowance is not a cash flow. Only the tax saving goes into the NPV.
- Reducing balance TAD
- TAD = allowance rate × opening WDV; closing WDV = opening WDV − TAD
- The rate is given in the question. Check when the first allowance is claimed. Often it is year 1 for an asset bought at time 0.
- Straight line TAD
- TAD per year = (cost − residual value) ÷ number of years
- Use the tax life given in the question, not the accounting life, if they differ.
- Balancing allowance or charge
- WDV at disposal − sale proceeds. Positive = balancing allowance. Negative = balancing charge.
- Claim it in the year of disposal. Then work out the tax effect: amount × tax rate.
- Tax timing
- Tax paid in year n + 1 = tax on profits of year n (if one year in arrears)
- The last year's tax is paid in the year after the project ends. Show it as a separate cash flow.
- Inflating a cash flow
- Future cash flow = current-price cash flow × (1 + i)ⁿ
- Use the rate that applies to that item. Sales, costs and working capital can inflate at different rates. n is the number of years from the date the current price applies to.
- Fisher relationship
- (1 + money rate) = (1 + real rate) × (1 + inflation rate)
- Use it to convert a real cost of capital to a nominal one. If cash flows have different inflation rates, inflate them and use the money rate.
- Tax on operating cash flow
- Tax = (operating cash flow − tax-allowable depreciation) × tax rate
- A negative figure gives a tax saving only if the question says losses can be relieved against other profits. Follow the question's timing for payment.
- Tax saved by capital allowances
- Tax saving = capital allowance × tax rate
- You can show it as a separate line. Or you can deduct the allowance inside the taxable profit line, as long as you do not count it twice.
- Working capital cash flow
- Cash flow in year t = −(WC required at start of year t+1 − WC required at start of year t)
- Use inflated balances. The final release at the end of the project is a positive flow equal to the balance then held.
- NPV
- NPV = Σ [after-tax nominal cash flow ÷ (1 + r)ⁿ], r = nominal after-tax cost of capital
- Accept the project if NPV is above zero.
- IRR by interpolation
- IRR ≈ L + [NPV at L ÷ (NPV at L − NPV at H)] × (H − L)
- L is the lower rate, H the higher rate. Choose rates that give one positive and one negative NPV.
Quick revision
- Fisher: (1 + money rate) = (1 + real rate) × (1 + inflation).
- Nominal cash flows use the nominal discount rate. Real cash flows use the real rate.
- Inflate each cash flow at its own specific rate if given. Otherwise use the general rate.
- Inflated flow = base flow × (1 + i)^n, where n is the number of years from now.
- Tax is charged on taxable profit, not on cash flow. Capital allowances reduce taxable profit.
- Capital allowances are not cash flows. Only the tax saved on them is a cash flow.
- Follow the question's tax timing: same year or one year later. Move all tax flows the same way.
- Ignore depreciation, financing costs and sunk costs. Include opportunity costs and relevant incremental costs.
- Working capital cash flow equals the increase or decrease in the balance each year.
- Recover working capital at the end of the project unless told otherwise.
- Discount the net cash flow of each year, add the results, and accept if NPV is positive.
- Finish Section C answers with a clear recommendation and any key assumption.
Common mistakes
- Discounting money cash flows at a real rate (or real flows at a money rate). Fix: Label every cash flow and every rate as real or money before calculating. Match them.
- Adding inflation to the real rate instead of using the Fisher formula. Fix: Multiply the (1 + r) and (1 + h) terms, then subtract 1. For example, 5% real and 3% inflation gives 8.15%, not 8%.
- Discounting inflated cash flows at the real rate (or real cash flows at the money rate). Fix: Label each rate and each cash flow as 'real' or 'money' before calculating. Methods must match.
- Applying general inflation to every cash flow when specific rates are given. Fix: Underline every rate in the question and assign it to an item. Use general inflation only for items with no specific rate.
- Deducting accounting depreciation when working out tax Fix: Ignore accounting depreciation. It is non-cash. Use only the TAD method that the question states.
- Putting the allowance itself in the cash flows instead of the tax saved Fix: Multiply every TAD and balancing allowance by the tax rate. Only that saving belongs in the NPV.
- Discounting nominal cash flows at the real cost of capital, or real cash flows at a money rate. Fix: Decide first whether you inflate. If you inflate, the rate must be nominal. Convert a real rate with (1 + m) = (1 + r)(1 + i) before you start discounting.
- Including accounting depreciation as a cash flow or as a tax deduction. Fix: Leave accounting depreciation out completely. Use only the tax-allowable depreciation given in the question as a deduction for tax.
Exam tips
- Look for the words 'current prices', 'real terms', 'in today's money' or 'money terms'. They tell you the basis of the cash flows.
- In Section B and Section A objective questions, the Fisher calculation is often the whole question. Use a calculator, keep decimals and watch the rounding of the options.
- Because objective questions are all or nothing, check whether the question asks for the money rate, the real rate or the NPV before you start.
- In Section C, show the inflation step clearly in your workings, so you earn method marks even if a number slips.
- If different cash flows have different specific inflation rates, inflate each at its own rate, but discount all at the money rate.
- Look at the wording: 'at current prices', 'in money terms', 'real cost of capital'. This tells you what must be inflated and which rate to use.
- If specific rates differ, go straight to the money method and set out a clear year-by-year table. Markers give credit for clear working even if one figure is wrong.
- In objective questions, check the method matches the rate first. Many wrong options come from mixing real flows with a money rate.