ACCA Strategic Professional · Advanced Financial Management
Regulatory framework and processes: formula sheet
Key formulas
- Offer value per target share (share exchange)
- Offer value = Exchange ratio × Bidder's share price
- Exchange ratio is bidder shares offered per target share. The value moves as the bidder's price moves.
- Offer value per target share (mixed offer)
- Offer value = Cash per share + (Exchange ratio × Bidder's share price)
- Use for cash plus share offers. State the date of the share price used.
- Total consideration
- Total consideration = Offer value per share × Number of target shares acquired
- Use shares actually acquired when the bid is for less than 100%.
- Premium offered
- Premium % = (Offer price − Pre-bid market price) ÷ Pre-bid market price × 100
- Use the undisturbed price from before the bid became known.
- Shares needed for a given acceptance level
- Shares needed = Acceptance % × Target shares in issue
- Include shares the bidder already holds when testing a threshold.
- Expected value of a deal under regulatory risk
- Expected value = (P(clear) × value if cleared) + (P(remedies) × value after remedies) + (P(block) × value if blocked)
- Probabilities must add up to 1. Use this when the question gives probabilities for outcomes.
- Value of synergies after remedies
- Net synergy value = PV of synergies − PV of lost cash flows from divested units − costs of delay and regulatory process
- Remedies reduce the benefits of the deal. Show the deduction clearly.
- Cost of delay
- Cost of delay = annual synergy benefit lost per year × years of delay (discounted if time is material)
- Delay also pushes synergies later, which lowers their present value.
- Merger types and main concern
- Horizontal = competitors (market power); Vertical = supply chain (foreclosure); Conglomerate = unrelated (little concern)
- Link the type of merger to the concern in every answer.
- Shareholder test of a defence
- Gain from defence = Final offer price (or value if bid fails) − Original offer price
- A defence is good for shareholders only if the final price, or the share price after a failed bid, beats the original offer. Allow for costs.
- Frustrating action rule (UK Takeover Code)
- Board action that could frustrate an offer needs shareholder approval in general meeting
- Applies when the board has reason to believe a bid is imminent or an offer has been made. Actions under earlier obligations are treated differently.
- Dilution from a poison pill
- Bidder's % after trigger = Bidder's shares ÷ (Existing shares + New discounted shares issued to others)
- Use it to show why the bidder's stake and control fall sharply. The bidder is excluded from buying.
- Value of target as the board's counter-argument
- Value per share = Estimated equity value ÷ Number of shares
- Use a DCF, P/E or asset value to argue the offer undervalues the company.
- Value of a share offer
- Offer value per target share = exchange ratio × acquirer share price
- For example, 2 acquirer shares for 3 target shares gives a ratio of 2/3. Use the acquirer's current price unless told otherwise.
- New shares issued
- New shares = target shares × exchange ratio
- Add these to the acquirer's existing shares to get the post-deal share count.
- Post-deal EPS
- EPS = (acquirer earnings + target earnings + post-tax synergies − post-tax cost of new finance) ÷ post-deal shares
- For cash funded by debt, deduct interest × (1 − tax rate). For cash funded by a rights issue, add the new shares.
- Gearing
- Gearing = debt ÷ equity, or debt ÷ (debt + equity)
- Use the definition the question gives. Say which one you use. Use market values if available.
- Gain to each party
- Target gain = value received − pre-bid market value of the target. Acquirer gain = combined value after synergies − payment value − acquirer's pre-bid value
- Synergy value is shared by the method and price of the offer. Check that the gains add up to the total synergy.
- Post-deal share price (P/E method)
- Combined value = combined post-deal earnings × P/E assumed. Share price = combined value ÷ post-deal shares
- State the P/E assumption clearly. Often the acquirer's P/E is assumed to hold, though the market may re-rate it.
- Cash alternative equivalence
- Cash per share that matches a share offer = exchange ratio × acquirer share price
- Use this to compare the two offers on a like-for-like basis.
Quick revision
- Takeover rules protect target shareholders and aim for fair, orderly bids.
- Shareholders of the same class must be treated equally.
- Target boards should not frustrate a bid without shareholder approval.
- A mandatory offer arises once control passes the stated threshold in the code you studied.
- Know the bid stages: approach, announcement, offer document, acceptance period, completion.
- Offer terms cover price, form of consideration, conditions and acceptance levels.
- Competition authorities can clear, require remedies, or block a merger.
- Merger control can delay a bid, so timing and risk belong in your advice.
- Defences can be pre-bid or post-bid, and each has costs and limits.
- Cash gives certainty but may need debt or a cash raise; shares preserve cash but dilute control.
- Mixed offers balance the bidder's funding needs against target shareholders' tax and risk preferences.
- Always end with a reasoned recommendation tied to the scenario.
Common mistakes
- Listing the bid stages generically without applying them to the scenario. Fix: Add a case fact to every stage, such as what due diligence should check in this target.
- Treating due diligence as only a financial audit. Fix: Cover legal, tax, commercial, operational, environmental and people issues, and say how findings change price or terms.
- Treating all mergers as equally risky for competition. Fix: State the type first. Horizontal deals carry the most risk; conglomerate deals the least.
- Quoting specific market share thresholds or deadlines from memory. Fix: Use the figures in the scenario. Describe the process in general terms.
- Listing every defence from memory without applying them to the scenario. Fix: Choose only the defences that fit the facts, such as the target's size or its funding capacity, and explain why.
- Ignoring the frustrating action rule for post-bid tactics. Fix: State that in the UK, once a bid is expected or made, actions that could frustrate it need shareholder approval.
- Forgetting to take tax off the interest on new debt when computing EPS. Fix: Always write interest × (1 − tax rate) as its own line. Do it before you add anything to earnings.
- Valuing a share offer at the target's price or at the acquirer's old price rather than the acquirer's current price. Fix: Offer value = ratio × acquirer price. Check which price the question gives and say which you use.
Exam tips
- Answer in the order of the timetable. It gives your answer a clear structure and earns marks for logic.
- Always apply a point to the scenario. Generic stage lists earn few marks, and professional skills marks reward application.
- Show the premium and offer value workings even if the question mostly asks for discussion.
- Name the control thresholds, but use the figures given in the question if they differ from your memory.
- If the question asks for advice, end with a clear recommendation and the main risk to it.
- Name the merger type in your first sentence. It anchors the rest of the answer.
- Use only the market data in the scenario. Do not invent shares, thresholds or deadlines.
- Always link regulation to value: delay, remedies, lost synergies, price and conditions in the offer.