IAI Actuarial Core Principles · Actuarial Mathematics for Modelling
Equation of value: formula sheet
Key formulas
- Simple interest accumulation
- A(t) = 1 + it
- Interest is on the original capital only. Used for short terms.
- Compound interest accumulation
- A(t) = (1 + i)^t
- i is the effective rate per unit time and t is in the same unit.
- Discount factor
- v = 1 ÷ (1 + i), so PV = v^t × payment
- v^t = (1 + i)^(-t).
- Nominal to effective interest
- 1 + i = (1 + i^(m) ÷ m)^m
- i^(m) is paid m times a year at i^(m) ÷ m per period.
- Effective rate of discount
- d = i ÷ (1 + i) = iv = 1 − v
- Also i − d = id and i = d ÷ (1 − d).
- Nominal discount rate
- 1 − d = (1 − d^(p) ÷ p)^p
- Also (1 + i^(m)/m)^m = (1 − d^(p)/p)^(−p).
- Force of interest from i
- δ = ln(1 + i), so 1 + i = e^δ
- Constant force. d = 1 − e^(−δ).
- Accumulation with varying force
- A(t) = exp(∫ from 0 to t of δ(s) ds)
- Discount factor over the same period is the reciprocal.
- Limits of nominal rates
- lim of i^(m) as m → ∞ = δ = lim of d^(p) as p → ∞
- Ordering for i > 0: d < d^(p) < δ < i^(m) < i.
- Accumulation factor, constant effective rate
- A(t1,t2) = (1 + i)^(t2 − t1)
- Needs i to be an effective rate per the same unit of time as t.
- Discount factor, constant effective rate
- v^n = (1 + i)^(−n), where v = 1 ÷ (1 + i)
- Present value of ₹1 due in n years.
- Accumulation factor from force of interest
- A(t1,t2) = exp( ∫ δ(s) ds from t1 to t2 )
- Works for any varying δ(s). Integrate first, then exponentiate.
- Discount factor from force of interest
- v(t1,t2) = exp( −∫ δ(s) ds from t1 to t2 )
- Reciprocal of the accumulation factor.
- Constant force of interest
- A(0,n) = e^(δn), and δ = ln(1 + i)
- So e^δ = 1 + i.
- Consecutive periods
- A(t0,t2) = A(t0,t1) × A(t1,t2)
- Valid for t0 < t1 < t2. Use it when rates change in steps.
- Varying effective annual rates
- A(0,n) = (1+i1)(1+i2)…(1+in)
- i_k is the effective rate in year k.
- Payment accumulation and discounting
- Value at t2 = Payment at t1 × A(t1,t2); PV at t1 = Payment at t2 ÷ A(t1,t2)
- Keep the dates straight before choosing a factor.
- Equation of value (discrete, constant i)
- Σ Aⱼ × (1 + i)^(t − tⱼ) over income = Σ Bₖ × (1 + i)^(t − sₖ) over outgo
- Aⱼ is income at time tⱼ, Bₖ is outgo at time sₖ, t is the valuation date. A factor (1 + i)^(t − time) accumulates if the cashflow is before t and discounts if it is after t.
- Discount factor
- v = 1 ÷ (1 + i), and v^n = (1 + i)^(−n)
- Using time 0 as the valuation date gives PV of income = PV of outgo with factors v^t.
- Net cashflow form
- Σ cₜ × v^t = 0
- cₜ is the net cashflow at time t (income positive, outgo negative). This is the same equation, written as net present value equal to zero.
- Continuous cashflows
- ∫ ρ(s) × exp(−∫₀^s δ(r) dr) ds over income = same expression over outgo
- ρ(s) is the rate of payment at time s and δ(r) is the force of interest. With constant δ, the discount factor is e^(−δs).
- Equation of value for life contingencies
- EPV of income = EPV of outgo
- This is the equivalence principle. Each cashflow is multiplied by its probability of being paid and by its discount factor.
- Independence of valuation date
- Multiplying both sides by (1 + i)^k leaves the solution unchanged
- Holds for a constant rate or a consistent discount function. Do not mix different bases on the two sides.
- Equation of value
- Σ (payments in) × v^t = Σ (payments out) × v^t, where v = 1 ÷ (1 + i)
- Use any single comparison date, but value every cash flow at that same date and at the same rate.
- Level annuity-immediate
- a_n = (1 − v^n) ÷ i
- Payments of 1 at the end of each period for n periods. For payment X, the present value is X × a_n.
- Linear interpolation for the rate
- i ≈ i1 + (i2 − i1) × (T − f(i1)) ÷ (f(i2) − f(i1))
- f(i) is the value at rate i and T is the target value. Choose i1 and i2 close together with T between f(i1) and f(i2).
- Newton-Raphson iteration
- i_(k+1) = i_k − f(i_k) ÷ f′(i_k)
- Here f(i) is the equation written as f(i) = 0. Repeat until two successive values agree to the required accuracy.
- Unknown term of a level annuity
- n = −ln(1 − i × A ÷ P) ÷ ln(1 + i)
- From A = P × a_n, where A is the present value, P the payment and i the rate per period. Check the answer is sensible.
- Discount factor
- v = 1 ÷ (1 + i); d = i ÷ (1 + i) = iv
- i is the effective rate per payment period. Always match the rate period to the payment period.
- Annuity-immediate (payments at end of each period)
- a(n) = (1 − vⁿ) ÷ i; accumulation s(n) = ((1 + i)ⁿ − 1) ÷ i
- a(n) is the value one period before the first payment. s(n) is the value at the time of the last payment.
- Annuity-due (payments at start of each period)
- ä(n) = (1 − vⁿ) ÷ d = (1 + i) × a(n)
- Value at the time of the first payment. Also ä(n) = 1 + a(n−1).
- Perpetuities
- a(∞) = 1 ÷ i; ä(∞) = 1 ÷ d
- Valid for i > 0. The first is paid at year end, the second at the start.
- Deferred annuity
- Value now of a(n) deferred m periods = vᵐ × a(n) = a(m+n) − a(m)
- Payments run from time m+1 to m+n. Check the first payment date carefully.
- Increasing annuity-immediate (payments 1, 2, ..., n)
- (Ia)(n) = (ä(n) − n × vⁿ) ÷ i
- Payment of t at time t. Value is at time 0. For (Iä)(n) use (ä(n) − n vⁿ) ÷ d.
- Decreasing annuity-immediate (payments n, n−1, ..., 1)
- (Da)(n) = (n − a(n)) ÷ i
- Payment of n at time 1, down to 1 at time n.
- Perpetuity increasing by 1 each period
- (Ia)(∞) = 1 ÷ (i × d) = (1 + i) ÷ i²
- Payments 1, 2, 3, ... at times 1, 2, 3, ...
- Loan outstanding balance
- Bₜ = X × a(n−t) at rate i, for level instalment X at year ends
- Prospective method. Interest in instalment t+1 = i × Bₜ; capital repaid = X − i × Bₜ.
- m-thly payments
- a⁽ᵐ⁾(n) = (1 − vⁿ) ÷ i⁽ᵐ⁾, where i⁽ᵐ⁾ = m × ((1 + i)^(1/m) − 1)
- This is for total payment 1 a year paid in m instalments of 1/m each at the end of each m-th period.
- Net present value
- NPV(i) = Σ C(t) × v^t, where v = 1 ÷ (1 + i)
- C(t) is net cash flow at time t (inflow positive, outflow negative). For continuous flows use ∫ ρ(t) e^(-δt) dt.
- Internal rate of return
- NPV(i) = 0 solved for i
- There may be no solution, or several, when cash flows change sign more than once.
- Linear interpolation for IRR
- i ≈ i₁ + (i₂ − i₁) × NPV(i₁) ÷ (NPV(i₁) − NPV(i₂))
- Choose i₁ and i₂ close together with NPVs of opposite sign. The answer is an estimate.
- Discounted payback period
- smallest t such that Σ (s ≤ t) C(s) × v^s ≥ 0
- Use the same rate i. State whether you give the time of the cash flow or an interpolated time.
- Level annuity-immediate
- a(n) = (1 − v^n) ÷ i
- Useful to value level loan repayments or level project inflows.
- Loan equation of value
- Amount received = PV of repayments at the effective rate i
- Solve for i to get the effective rate of return on the loan.
- Effective rate from a monthly rate
- (1 + i) = (1 + j)^12, where j is the effective monthly rate
- Convert before comparing with annual rates.
Quick revision
- Effective annual rate i: (1 + i) = (1 + i⁽ᵐ⁾/m)ᵐ for nominal rate i⁽ᵐ⁾ convertible m times a year.
- Force of interest δ = ln(1 + i), so 1 + i = e^δ.
- Discount rate d = i ÷ (1 + i) = 1 − v, where v = 1 ÷ (1 + i).
- Equation of value: PV of inflows = PV of outflows, at the same date and rate.
- Any valuation date gives the same answer if the rate is constant; pick the one that simplifies the algebra.
- a⌉ₙ = (1 − vⁿ) ÷ i for payments of 1 at the end of each year for n years.
- ä⌉ₙ = (1 − vⁿ) ÷ d for payments at the start of each year, and ä⌉ₙ = (1 + i) × a⌉ₙ.
- s⌉ₙ = ((1 + i)ⁿ − 1) ÷ i, and s⌉ₙ = (1 + i)ⁿ × a⌉ₙ.
- A deferred annuity starting after k years has value vᵏ × a⌉ₙ for payments at end of years k+1 to k+n.
- IRR is the rate that makes NPV equal to zero; check for sign changes in the cashflows.
- Loan balance after t payments equals the PV of the remaining payments at the loan rate.
- Interest in a loan payment = rate × opening balance; capital repaid = payment − interest.
Common mistakes
- Treating a nominal rate as an effective rate, for example using 12% convertible monthly as 12% a year. Fix: Always read the conversion frequency. Use i^(m) ÷ m per period, or convert to i first.
- Using d = 1 − i or d = i ÷ (1 − i). Fix: Remember d = i ÷ (1 + i) = 1 − v. Check with i = 10%: d = 0.1 ÷ 1.1 ≈ 9.09%, which is less than i.
- Using the integral of δ(s) from 0 to t when the payment dates are not from time 0. Fix: Use the actual limits t1 and t2 of the period you are valuing over. Draw the timeline first.
- Forgetting to exponentiate the integral and using ∫ δ(s) ds as the factor. Fix: The integral is the exponent. The factor is exp(integral).
- Mixing up income and outgo, or leaving out a payment. Fix: Draw the timeline first. Label every flow as in or out from one person's view. Count the flows on the timeline against the question.
- Discounting a cashflow that should be accumulated, or the reverse. Fix: Use (1 + i)^(t − time). If the cashflow is after the valuation date, the exponent is negative and you discount. If before, you accumulate.
- Valuing different cash flows at different dates Fix: Fix one comparison date before you write anything. Apply that date to every term.
- Interpolating with values that do not straddle the target Fix: Check that the target lies between f(i1) and f(i2). If not, you are extrapolating, so try a better pair of rates.
- Using the annual rate when payments are monthly or half-yearly. Fix: Convert first. Use the effective rate per payment period, and set n as the number of payments.
- Treating a deferred annuity as starting m periods after time 0 when it starts m+1 periods after. Fix: For payments in arrears, deferred m years means first payment at time m+1. The value is vᵐ a(n). Check with the timeline.
Exam tips
- Start each rate question by writing which type of rate you have and its frequency. This avoids the most common lost marks.
- Show the conversion formula in standard notation before you substitute numbers. Method marks are given for this.
- Keep the sanity check d < δ < i in mind. If your answer breaks the order, recheck it.
- For varying force of interest, set up the integral explicitly and state the limits before evaluating.
- In Paper B, store the effective rate as a variable and use log() and exp() to move between rates, so you can reuse it.
- In written questions, state the formula in standard notation before substituting, for example A(t1,t2) = exp(∫ δ(s) ds). Method marks depend on it.
- Check the limits of integration against the payment dates. This is the most common source of lost marks.
- Keep at least 5 significant figures in intermediate steps and round only the final answer.