IAI Actuarial Core Principles · Business Economics
Pricing strategies in the financial services sector: formula sheet
Key formulas
- Cost-plus price
- Price = Average total cost per unit × (1 + mark-up %)
- Mark-up is on cost. Average total cost = (fixed + variable costs) ÷ units.
- Mark-up and margin
- Margin on price = Mark-up ÷ (1 + Mark-up)
- A 25% mark-up on cost equals a 20% margin on price. Do not mix them up.
- Average total cost
- ATC = Total cost ÷ Q = AFC + AVC
- Fixed cost per unit falls as volume rises.
- Marginal cost
- MC = Change in total cost ÷ Change in quantity
- For one extra unit, MC is the extra cost of that unit.
- Marginal cost pricing floor
- Price ≥ MC (short run)
- Below MC each extra sale reduces profit.
- Break-even quantity
- Q* = Fixed costs ÷ (Price − Variable cost per unit)
- Price minus variable cost is the contribution per unit.
- Target profit volume
- Q = (Fixed costs + Target profit) ÷ (Price − Variable cost per unit)
- Use when a profit target is given.
- Condition for third degree discrimination
- MR₁ = MR₂ = MC
- Set marginal revenue equal to marginal cost in each segment, with the same MC across segments. This decides the output in each market.
- Price and elasticity link
- MR = P × (1 − 1/|PED|)
- Applies for a firm facing a downward sloping demand curve, with |PED| the absolute value of price elasticity at that price. Use it to show why the less elastic segment gets the higher price.
- Which segment pays more
- Lower |PED| → higher price; higher |PED| → lower price
- This holds when MC is the same in both segments and the firm maximises profit.
- Perfect (first degree) discrimination
- Price for each unit = willingness to pay for that unit; consumer surplus = 0
- Output rises to where the demand curve meets MC, so there is no deadweight loss. All surplus moves to the firm.
- Price gap not explained by cost
- Discrimination component = (P₁ − P₂) − (C₁ − C₂)
- P is price and C is expected cost to serve each group. A positive result points to discrimination. A result near zero points to risk-based or cost-based pricing.
- Profit-maximising rule
- MR = MC
- Base case for any pricing decision. Strategic pricing departs from it in the short run to gain share or deter entry.
- Predatory test (cost-based)
- Price < average variable cost (AVC)
- Pricing below AVC is the usual warning sign of predation. Pricing between AVC and ATC is a loss but not clearly predatory.
- Loss-leader viability
- Loss on lead product < Σ expected profit from cross-sold products
- Include the probability that customers actually buy and stay. Discount later profits if the horizon is long.
- Bundle gain
- Bundle price < Σ stand-alone prices, and bundle revenue ≥ separate revenue
- A bundle pays when valuations are negatively correlated or it cuts cost to serve and churn.
- Payoff comparison in a price game
- Dominant strategy: a choice with the higher payoff whatever the rival does
- If both firms have a dominant strategy, the outcome is a Nash equilibrium. It may be worse for both than cooperation.
- Price elasticity link
- Revenue rises after a price cut if |PED| > 1
- Penetration pricing is only attractive on revenue grounds when demand is elastic.
- Expected claim cost (pure premium)
- Pure premium = P(claim) × average claim size
- Risk-based pricing sets each risk class's premium from its own expected cost, then adds expenses and profit loading.
- Loaded premium
- Premium = (Pure premium + fixed expenses) ÷ (1 − variable expense and profit rate)
- State the loading assumptions. A simple version is Premium = Pure premium × (1 + loading).
- Average (pooled) premium
- Pooled premium = Σ (weight of group × expected cost of group)
- Weights are the proportions of each group actually buying cover. If the mix changes, the pooled cost changes.
- Risk-based interest rate (single-period)
- (1 − p) × (1 + r) = 1 + funding rate, when loss given default is 100% and no recovery
- p is probability of default, r is the loan rate. With recovery R per ₹1 lent in default: (1 − p)(1 + r) + p × R = 1 + funding rate.
- Cross-subsidy
- Cross-subsidy for a group = premium charged − expected cost of that group
- Positive means the group subsidises others. Negative means it is subsidised.
Quick revision
- Pricing objectives can include profit, market share, survival, growth and meeting regulatory or social aims. They can conflict.
- Cost-based pricing adds a margin to cost. It ignores demand and rivals, so it can misprice.
- Financial products have uncertain costs, because claims or defaults arrive after the sale.
- Price discrimination means charging different prices for the same product where cost differences do not explain the gap.
- It needs market power, a way to separate customers and limited resale.
- Segmentation groups customers by traits such as age, income, channel or risk to set suitable prices.
- Competitive pricing depends on rivals' reactions. In an oligopoly, firms are interdependent.
- Price wars can hurt all firms. Underpricing risk can lead to losses later in insurance and lending.
- Adverse selection: before the deal, the party with less information attracts the riskiest customers.
- Moral hazard: after the deal, behaviour changes because risk is covered by someone else.
- Risk-based pricing charges higher prices to riskier customers. Screening, deductibles and credit scores help the firm sort them.
- Always link the answer to the case given in the question.
Common mistakes
- Treating mark-up on cost as margin on price. Fix: Read which base is stated. Convert with margin = mark-up ÷ (1 + mark-up) when needed.
- Using marginal cost instead of average total cost in cost-plus pricing. Fix: Cost-plus uses full unit cost. Marginal cost pricing uses only the extra cost.
- Calling every price difference price discrimination. Fix: Check whether the gap reflects cost. Higher premiums for higher expected claims are risk-based pricing. Discrimination needs a gap beyond cost.
- Mixing up second and third degree. Fix: In second degree, the customer picks the option. In third degree, the firm assigns the group by an observable trait such as age.
- Calling any below-cost price predatory. Fix: Predation needs below-cost pricing, the aim of removing rivals, and a plan to recoup losses later. A loss leader aims at cross-sales instead.
- Saying skimming works in any market. Fix: State the conditions: few substitutes, strong demand from early buyers and barriers to entry. Otherwise rivals enter and erode prices.
- Mixing up adverse selection and moral hazard. Fix: Use timing. Before the contract, hidden type: adverse selection. After the contract, hidden behaviour: moral hazard.
- Computing the pooled premium with the original mix after low risks have left. Fix: Recompute the average using only the groups that still buy. State whether the spiral continues.
Exam tips
- Always state the pricing objective first. Examiners reward the link between objective and method.
- Write each formula before using it and show units in rupees.
- For discussion parts, give one strength and one weakness of each method. A common weakness is ignoring demand and competitors.
- Use financial services examples: loan pricing, premium loadings, account fees.
- Check whether the question says mark-up on cost or margin on price before computing.
- Always give a financial services example for each degree. Use no-claim discounts or tiered cover for second degree, and age or channel pricing for third degree.
- State the three conditions early in any written answer. Markers look for market power, separation and no resale.
- In calculations, write MR = MC for each segment and show the price from the demand curve. Do not stop at quantity.