IAI Actuarial Core Principles · Business Economics
Supply-side policies and their impact on businesses: formula sheet
Key formulas
- Aggregate demand identity
- AD = C + I + G + (X − M)
- Demand-side policies work by changing one or more of these components. Supply-side policies do not directly target them.
- Effect of supply-side policy on the LRAS
- Successful supply-side policy → LRAS shifts right → potential output rises
- Draw the shift as a move from LRAS1 to LRAS2 and label real GDP on the horizontal axis and price level on the vertical.
- Productivity
- Labour productivity = Output ÷ Number of workers (or hours worked)
- Many supply-side policies, such as training, aim to raise this.
- Growth in potential output
- Growth in potential output depends on growth in the quantity and quality of factors of production, and on technology
- Use this to link each policy to a factor of production.
- Aim of the policy
- Policy → better incentives and competition → lower costs / higher productivity → LRAS shifts right
- Use this chain in every answer. Each link is a point you can develop.
- Labour supply response to a tax cut
- Income effect vs substitution effect
- A higher take-home wage makes leisure relatively costlier (substitution effect, more work). But people may feel richer and work less (income effect). The net effect is uncertain.
- Effect on the economy
- Rightward shift of LRAS: higher potential output, lower price level at a given AD
- Draw it with real GDP on the horizontal axis and price level on the vertical axis.
- Percentage change in tax revenue
- New revenue = new rate × new tax base
- A tax cut lowers revenue only if the base does not grow enough to offset it. Do not assume it always pays for itself.
- Labour productivity
- Labour productivity = Output ÷ Number of workers (or hours worked)
- Human capital investment aims to raise this ratio. Use hours worked if the question gives hours.
- Percentage change
- % change = (New − Old) ÷ Old × 100
- Use this to measure productivity growth or the rise in potential output.
- Unit labour cost
- Unit labour cost = Total labour cost ÷ Output
- If productivity rises faster than wages, unit labour cost falls and competitiveness improves.
- Effect on LRAS
- Interventionist policy → ↑ quantity or quality of factors → LRAS shifts right → ↑ potential output
- This is the chain of reasoning to state in every answer. It is a logical rule, not a numerical formula.
- Unit labour cost
- Unit labour cost = total labour cost ÷ output
- Equivalent to wage per worker ÷ output per worker. Productivity gains lower it if wages do not rise as fast.
- Labour productivity
- Labour productivity = output ÷ number of workers (or hours worked)
- Training, capital and technology raise it. Use it to show why costs per unit fall.
- Effect on unit cost
- Change in unit labour cost ≈ % change in wages − % change in productivity
- An approximation for small changes. If productivity grows faster than wages, unit cost falls.
- Policy effect on AS
- Supply-side policy → LRAS shifts right → higher potential output and lower price level (other things equal)
- A rule of reasoning, not a numerical formula. State that other things are held equal.
Quick revision
- Supply-side policies aim to increase potential output and shift long-run aggregate supply to the right.
- They work on productivity, costs and incentives, not on total spending.
- Market-based policies free markets: tax cuts, deregulation, privatisation, labour market reform, trade liberalisation, promoting competition.
- Interventionist policies use government action: education and training, infrastructure, R&D support, regional and small business support.
- Interventionist policies often rest on a market failure argument, such as under-provision of public goods or positive externalities.
- Supply-side effects usually take time, so benefits come with a lag.
- Lower taxes can improve incentives but may reduce government revenue and widen inequality.
- Privatisation may raise efficiency, but it can create private monopolies that need regulation.
- For businesses, the gains are lower costs, better skills, better infrastructure and more investment.
- For businesses, the risks are tougher competition, policy uncertainty and compliance changes.
- In evaluation, always weigh benefits against costs, time scale and who gains or loses.
Common mistakes
- Saying supply-side policies shift the AD curve. Fix: Supply-side policies target LRAS. Any effect on AD is secondary, for example through higher incomes.
- Treating a tax cut as always supply-side. Fix: Ask the purpose. A tax cut to raise work incentives or investment is supply-side. A tax cut to boost spending now is demand-side.
- Treating supply-side policies as demand management. Fix: Focus on the incentive and productivity effect. Mention any AD effect as a side effect, then return to the LRAS shift.
- Saying a tax cut always raises work effort. Fix: Mention both the substitution and income effects and say the net result is uncertain.
- Calling tax cuts or deregulation interventionist policies. Fix: Ask whether the government is spending or directing resources (interventionist) or removing barriers and increasing competition (market-based).
- Saying education spending shifts AD only. Fix: Say spending raises AD in the short run, but the main aim is to raise productive capacity and shift LRAS right in the long run.
- Confusing supply-side policies with demand-side policies such as lower interest rates or higher government spending. Fix: Ask whether the policy mainly raises productive capacity over time (supply-side) or mainly raises spending (demand-side). Say which effect you are discussing.
- Claiming the effect is immediate. Fix: Always mention time lags, especially for interventionist policies. Say whether the lag is short or long and why.
Exam tips
- Always say what the policy does to LRAS. Examiners look for the words 'shifts LRAS to the right' and 'potential output'.
- In comparison questions, use three headings in your answer: target (AD or LRAS), time horizon and typical tools.
- Use a labelled diagram whenever the question mentions 'illustrate', 'show' or 'explain how'. Label both curves and both equilibria.
- In multiple-choice questions, check the purpose of tax and spending measures. The same tool can be demand-side or supply-side.
- In longer answers, add one limit such as time lag, cost or uncertain results. It often earns the evaluation marks.
- For 'evaluate' or 'discuss' questions, give both sides and a final judgement. Marks are lost for one-sided lists.
- Always connect the policy to LRAS and to costs for businesses. Examiners look for that link.
- In MCQs, watch for options that claim effects are immediate, certain or demand-driven. They are usually wrong.