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IAI Actuarial Core Principles · Economic Modelling

Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM): formula sheet

Full chapter guide

Key formulas

Portfolio expected return
E(Rp) = Σ wᵢ E(Rᵢ)
Weights wᵢ sum to 1. Short sales give negative weights.
Two-asset portfolio variance
Var(Rp) = w₁²σ₁² + w₂²σ₂² + 2w₁w₂Cov(R₁,R₂)
Cov(R₁,R₂) = ρ₁₂σ₁σ₂.
General portfolio variance
Var(Rp) = ΣᵢΣⱼ wᵢwⱼ Cov(Rᵢ,Rⱼ)
The sum includes i = j terms, which are the variances.
Correlation
ρ₁₂ = Cov(R₁,R₂) ÷ (σ₁σ₂)
Always between -1 and +1.
Minimum variance weight (two assets)
w₁ = (σ₂² − σ₁₂) ÷ (σ₁² + σ₂² − 2σ₁₂)
σ₁₂ is the covariance. w₂ = 1 − w₁. Weight on asset 1 is found by setting d Var/d w₁ = 0.
Quadratic utility approach (mean-variance utility)
U = E(R) − (λ ÷ 2) Var(R)
One common form. λ > 0 is the risk aversion coefficient. Larger λ means more risk averse.
Equally weighted n-asset diversification
Var(Rp) = σ̄²÷n + ((n−1)÷n) × average covariance
As n grows, variance tends to the average covariance: the systematic part.
Portfolio of risk-free asset and risky portfolio P
E(R) = (1 − w) r_f + w E(R_P); σ = |w| σ_P
w is the proportion in P. w > 1 means borrowing at r_f to invest more in P.
Capital Market Line
E(R_P) = r_f + [(E(R_M) − r_f) ÷ σ_M] × σ_P
Applies to efficient portfolios only. Intercept is r_f; slope is the market price of risk.
Slope of the CML (Sharpe ratio of the market)
(E(R_M) − r_f) ÷ σ_M
Extra expected return per unit of standard deviation.
Market portfolio weights
w_i = market value of asset i ÷ total market value of all risky assets
All investors hold the risky assets in these proportions under CAPM.
Standard deviation needed for a target return
σ_P = [E(R_P) − r_f] ÷ slope
Rearranged CML. Use it when the question gives a target return.
CAPM equation
E(Ri) = Rf + βi × (E(Rm) − Rf)
Gives the required (equilibrium) expected return. E(Rm) − Rf is the market risk premium.
Beta definition
βi = Cov(Ri, Rm) ÷ Var(Rm) = ρim × σi ÷ σm
ρim is the correlation between security i and the market. σ is standard deviation.
Portfolio beta
βp = Σ wi × βi
Weights wi are proportions of portfolio value and sum to 1. Beta is a weighted average.
Alpha
αi = E(Ri) − [Rf + βi(E(Rm) − Rf)]
Positive alpha: above the SML, underpriced. Negative alpha: below the SML, overpriced.
Systematic and specific risk
σi² = βi² × σm² + σ²(εi)
Holds under the single-factor (market model) set-up. The first term is systematic, the second is specific risk.
Price implied by required return
Fair price today = E(expected end-of-period value) ÷ (1 + required return)
Use for a single period. Compare with the market price to judge over- or underpricing.
CAPM
E(Ri) = Rf + βi [E(RM) − Rf]
Beta is Cov(Ri, RM) ÷ Var(RM). Only systematic risk earns a premium.
Single index model
Ri = αi + βi RM + εi
E(εi) = 0 and εi is uncorrelated with RM and with other εj. This is a return-generating model, not an equilibrium model.
Variance under single index model
Var(Ri) = βi² σM² + σεi²
Systematic part plus specific part.
Covariance under single index model
Cov(Ri, Rj) = βi βj σM²
Holds for i ≠ j. It cuts the number of inputs needed for a portfolio.
Multi-factor model
Ri = ai + bi1 F1 + bi2 F2 + … + bik Fk + εi
The bij are factor sensitivities. Factors can be macroeconomic or based on firm characteristics.
APT expected return
E(Ri) = λ0 + bi1 λ1 + bi2 λ2 + … + bik λk
λ0 is the return on a zero-sensitivity asset, often Rf. Each λj is the risk premium for factor j.
Test regression (cross-section)
R̄i = γ0 + γ1 β̂i + ηi
CAPM predicts γ0 = Rf and γ1 = E(RM) − Rf. Extra variables should have zero coefficients.

Quick revision

  • Portfolio expected return: E(Rₚ) = Σ wᵢE(Rᵢ), with weights summing to 1.
  • Two-asset variance: σₚ² = w₁²σ₁² + w₂²σ₂² + 2w₁w₂Cov(R₁, R₂).
  • Correlation: ρ = Cov(R₁, R₂) ÷ (σ₁σ₂), and it lies between −1 and +1.
  • The efficient frontier holds portfolios with the highest return for a given risk.
  • The CML: E(Rₚ) = r_f + [E(R_M) − r_f] ÷ σ_M × σₚ, for efficient portfolios.
  • The SML: E(Rᵢ) = r_f + βᵢ[E(R_M) − r_f], for any asset or portfolio.
  • Beta: βᵢ = Cov(Rᵢ, R_M) ÷ Var(R_M). The market has beta 1 and the risk-free asset has beta 0.
  • Only systematic risk is priced. Specific risk is removed by diversification.
  • An asset above the SML is underpriced (positive alpha). One below is overpriced.
  • The market risk premium is E(R_M) − r_f.
  • Key assumptions: mean-variance investors, common expectations, one period, borrowing and lending at r_f, no taxes or transaction costs.
  • Main limits: unrealistic assumptions, unobservable market portfolio, and weak empirical support for beta alone.

Common mistakes

  • Averaging standard deviations to get portfolio risk. Fix: Use the variance formula with the covariance term. The weighted average of standard deviations is correct only when ρ = +1.
  • Leaving out the factor 2 on the covariance term. Fix: Always write 2w₁w₂Cov(R₁,R₂) in the two-asset formula.
  • Applying the CML to individual securities or inefficient portfolios. Fix: Remember: the CML uses σ and holds for efficient portfolios only. Individual assets lie below it. Use the SML with beta for any asset.
  • Using beta on the x-axis of the CML. Fix: CML axes are standard deviation (x) and expected return (y). SML axes are beta (x) and expected return (y).
  • Using E(Rm) instead of the market risk premium E(Rm) − Rf when multiplying by beta. Fix: Always compute the premium on its own line first, then multiply by beta, then add Rf.
  • Dividing Cov(Ri, Rm) by the security's variance or by σm instead of Var(Rm). Fix: Beta is the regression slope of Ri on Rm, so the denominator is the variance of the market. Check units: covariance ÷ variance gives a pure number.
  • Saying Roll's critique proves CAPM is false. Fix: Say it shows CAPM cannot be tested conclusively, because the true market portfolio is unobservable and any test is a joint test with the proxy.
  • Treating the single index model and CAPM as the same. Fix: CAPM is an equilibrium model for expected returns. The single index model describes how returns are generated and includes an alpha and a random specific term.

Exam tips

  • Show the formula first, then substitute. Markers give method marks even if arithmetic slips.
  • State assumptions explicitly when asked about the theory: single period, rational risk-averse investors, mean and variance only, no frictions, common beliefs.
  • For descriptive parts, distinguish systematic from unsystematic risk and say which one diversification removes.
  • Sketch the frontier with axes labelled: standard deviation on the horizontal, expected return on the vertical. Mark the minimum variance point.
  • In Paper B or R questions, state the covariance matrix and weights vector clearly, and compute variance as wᵀΣw.
  • For assumption questions, give 5 or 6 assumptions and say what each one delivers. Marks usually go for the link, not the list.
  • In a CML sketch, label the axes (σ and expected return), the intercept r_f, the point M and the slope. Show that the line continues beyond M for borrowing.
  • Compare CML and SML in one line each when asked: CML is for efficient portfolios and uses σ; SML is for all assets and uses beta.