CMA Final · Strategic Performance Management and Business Valuation
Valuation in Mergers and Acquisitions: formula sheet
Key formulas
- Synergy
- Synergy = Value of combined firm − (Value of A + Value of B)
- A deal creates value only if synergy is positive after the premium paid and the costs of the deal.
- Net gain to acquirer
- Net gain = Synergy − Premium paid
- Premium = Price paid for the target − Its stand-alone market value.
- Classification rule
- Same business = horizontal; different stages of one chain = vertical; unrelated businesses = conglomerate
- Use the relationship between the firms, not their size.
- Net asset value (NAV)
- NAV = Fair value of assets − Outside liabilities (including preference capital)
- Value per equity share = NAV available to equity ÷ number of equity shares. Exclude fictitious assets such as preliminary expenses.
- Capitalisation of maintainable earnings
- Value of business = Maintainable profit after tax ÷ Capitalisation rate
- Capitalisation rate is the required rate of return. It equals 1 ÷ P/E multiple.
- P/E based value
- Equity value = Maintainable earnings × P/E multiple
- Use the P/E of comparable companies, adjusted for the target's risk and size.
- Enterprise value multiple
- Enterprise value = EBITDA × EV/EBITDA multiple; Equity value = Enterprise value − Net debt
- Net debt = Debt − Cash and cash equivalents.
- Free cash flow to firm (FCFF)
- FCFF = EBIT × (1 − t) + Depreciation − Capital expenditure − Increase in working capital
- Discount FCFF at the WACC to get enterprise value.
- Terminal value (growing perpetuity)
- TV = FCFF(n+1) ÷ (WACC − g) = FCFF(n) × (1 + g) ÷ (WACC − g)
- Valid only when g is less than WACC. Discount TV by the factor of year n.
- DCF equity value
- Equity value = PV of FCFF + PV of terminal value − Net debt
- Divide by number of shares for value per share.
- Synergy value
- Synergy = V(AB) − [V(A) + V(B)]
- V(AB) is the combined firm's value; A is the acquirer, B is the target. Positive synergy is the base for any merger gain.
- Value of a perpetual synergy
- Synergy value = Annual after-tax synergy cash flow ÷ r
- Use r suited to the risk of the synergy. If the flow grows at g, use ÷ (r − g) with the first-year flow, and r must exceed g.
- Premium paid
- Premium = Price paid for target − Stand-alone value of target
- If payment is in shares, value the shares at their post-merger worth or as the question directs.
- Gain to target
- Gain to target = Premium
- Equals price paid minus the target's stand-alone value.
- Gain to acquirer (cash deal)
- Gain to acquirer = Synergy − Premium
- Equivalent to V(AB) − V(A) − price paid, where V(AB) includes the effect of paying cash for the target.
- Net present value of the merger
- NPV to acquirer = Gain to acquirer
- Accept the merger only if this is positive, subject to strategic factors.
- Exchange ratio on market price
- ER = Market price per share of target ÷ Market price per share of acquirer
- Gives target holders the same market value, with no premium. Add any premium to the target price first.
- Exchange ratio on EPS
- ER = EPS of target ÷ EPS of acquirer
- Equates earnings contribution per share. Use the same EPS basis for both.
- Exchange ratio on book value
- ER = Book value per share of target ÷ Book value per share of acquirer
- Book value per share = Net worth available to equity ÷ Number of equity shares.
- Weighted exchange ratio
- ER = Σ (weight × ratio on each basis), with weights summing to 1
- Use the weights given in the question. If none are given, state your assumption.
- New shares issued
- New shares = Target shares × ER
- Total shares after merger = Acquirer shares + New shares.
- EPS after merger
- Merged EPS = (Earnings of acquirer + Earnings of target + synergy) ÷ Total shares after merger
- Add synergy only if the question states it.
- Market price after merger
- Price = Merged EPS × P/E ratio assumed
- The P/E is usually the acquirer's, or a stated combined P/E.
- Equivalent EPS for target holder
- Equivalent EPS = Merged EPS × ER
- Compare with the target's old EPS to see the gain or loss per target share.
- Purchase consideration
- PC = Cash paid + (Shares issued × fair value per share) + fair value of other payments
- Use fair value on the deal date. Payments made to the target's shareholders form the consideration.
- Shares issued under an exchange ratio
- New shares = Target shares × Exchange ratio
- Exchange ratio is the number of acquirer shares given per target share.
- Premium per share
- Premium = Offer value per share − Unaffected market price per share
- Use the price before the deal news leaked or was announced.
- Premium percentage
- Premium % = Premium per share ÷ Unaffected market price × 100
- Total premium = premium per share × number of target shares.
- Synergy
- Synergy = V(combined) − V(acquirer) − V(target)
- All values are standalone values before the deal. Synergy is the gain from combining.
- Cost of a cash offer
- Cost = Cash paid − V(target standalone)
- Cost is the premium over standalone value.
- Cost of a stock offer
- Cost = (New shares ÷ Total shares after deal) × V(combined) − V(target standalone)
- Total shares after deal = acquirer's old shares + new shares issued. Combined value includes synergy.
- NPV of the merger to acquirer
- NPV = Synergy − Cost
- Positive NPV means acquirer's shareholders gain.
- Goodwill on acquisition (Ind AS 103 style)
- Goodwill = Consideration − Fair value of net identifiable assets acquired
- A negative result is a bargain purchase, which needs separate treatment.
- Debt-to-total funding in an LBO
- Purchase price = Debt raised + Equity contributed (+ any seller finance)
- Sources must equal uses. Uses include price paid, refinanced debt and fees.
- Equity contributed
- Equity = Total uses − Total debt
- Equity is the balancing figure. Do not assume it is a fixed percentage.
- Exit equity value
- Exit equity = Exit enterprise value − Net debt at exit
- Net debt = debt − cash. Debt repaid from cash flows raises exit equity.
- Multiple of money (MoM)
- MoM = Exit equity ÷ Equity invested
- A simple return measure that ignores time.
- IRR from a single exit
- IRR = (Exit equity ÷ Equity invested)^(1 ÷ n) − 1
- Use when there are no interim cash flows. n is the number of years held.
- Interest cover
- Interest cover = EBIT ÷ Interest expense
- Lenders check this to see if debt is serviceable. Higher is safer.
- Debt service capacity
- Cash available for debt service ÷ (Interest + Principal repayment)
- A value below 1 means the cash flow cannot meet scheduled payments.
- Share entitlement in a demerger (pro rata)
- New shares to a holder = Shares held in demerged company × Entitlement ratio
- Example: ratio 1:2 means 1 resulting-company share for every 2 held. Fractions are usually rounded or settled in cash as per the scheme.
- Value of demerged entity
- Value of remaining business = Pre-demerger equity value − Value of undertaking demerged
- Total shareholder wealth should be unchanged immediately before and after if both are valued fairly.
- Open offer trigger and size (SEBI SAST)
- Trigger: acquirer, with persons acting in concert, acquiring shares that take voting rights to 25% or more, or acquiring control. Minimum open offer = 26% of total shares of the target
- State the thresholds exactly as the Regulations provide for the case, and note creeping acquisition rules separately.
- Open offer price (principle)
- Offer price = highest of the specified benchmarks (negotiated price, volume-weighted averages and other prescribed prices)
- Do not use only the latest market price. Use the figures the question gives.
- Post-restructuring value check
- Value created = Sum of parts after restructuring − Value before restructuring
- Positive only if standalone value of parts exceeds the conglomerate value, net of costs.
Quick revision
- Merger combines companies into one; acquisition is one company taking control of another.
- Horizontal deals join competitors, vertical deals join supply chain stages, conglomerate deals join unrelated businesses.
- Use more than one valuation method and explain why the chosen value is reasonable.
- Synergy = value of combined firm − (value of acquirer + value of target), both standalone.
- Synergy comes from revenue gains, cost savings, tax benefits and lower financing cost.
- Exchange ratio = shares of acquirer issued per share of target, based on the agreed value basis.
- Exchange ratio on market prices is target price ÷ acquirer price, when the deal is priced at market.
- Check the effect on EPS and market value per share for both sets of shareholders.
- Purchase consideration can be cash, shares, or a mix, and the form changes risk and tax for sellers.
- A leveraged buyout is financed mostly by debt, repaid from the target's own cash flows.
- Takeover defences include poison pill, white knight and buyback; know one line on each.
- A demerger transfers one undertaking into a separate company; know that the legal route needs approval under company law.
Common mistakes
- Treating merger and acquisition as the same thing in every case. Fix: State that in a merger the combining firms become one, while in an acquisition one firm gains control and the target may survive.
- Calling a deal vertical because the firms are in the same industry. Fix: Check whether the firms are at different stages. Same stage and same product is horizontal.
- Taking reported profit as maintainable profit without adjustment. Fix: Remove one-off gains and losses, adjust for tax, and then capitalise.
- Using book values in the asset-based method when fair values are given. Fix: Replace book values with the revalued figures and drop fictitious assets.
- Counting the target's stand-alone value as part of the synergy. Fix: Subtract both stand-alone values first. Synergy is only the extra over A + B.
- Treating the premium as a cost that reduces total synergy. Fix: The premium only transfers value to the target. Total synergy stays the same; it is split between the two parties.
- Dividing acquirer by target instead of target by acquirer. Fix: The ratio is acquirer shares per target share. Target value goes on top, acquirer value at the bottom.
- Using total earnings or total market value instead of per-share values. Fix: Convert to per share first. If you use totals, the ratio is a value ratio, not a share ratio.
- Measuring the premium against the current price after the announcement. Fix: Use the unaffected price before the news. If the question gives only one price, state your assumption.
- Valuing shares issued at face value in the consideration. Fix: For valuation questions use the fair or market value per share. Use face value only to split the amount between share capital and securities premium.
Exam tips
- In case questions, always name the type and give the reason from the facts. A bare label earns few marks.
- Write backward or forward whenever you say vertical.
- For motive questions, give four or five points with a one-line explanation each, not a list of words.
- Do not mix up the forms: a demerger is not a type of acquisition.
- Keep a short line on risks, such as integration problems and regulatory control, to make the answer balanced.
- Read the data first. The question usually hints at the method through the figures supplied.
- In MCQs, check whether the answer asks for enterprise value, equity value or per-share value.
- In written answers, show the formula, the working table and a closing comment on suitability.