CS Professional · Banking and Insurance - Laws and Practice
Risk Management in Banks and Basel Accords: formula sheet
Key formulas
- Risk management process
- Identify → Measure → Monitor and report → Control or mitigate → Review
- Use this sequence as the skeleton of any descriptive answer.
- Three lines of defence
- 1st: business units; 2nd: risk and compliance functions; 3rd: internal audit
- Business units own risk, the risk function oversees it, and audit gives independent assurance.
- Main risk categories
- Credit risk + Market risk + Liquidity risk + Operational risk (plus others such as reputational and strategic)
- Credit and market risk were the original Pillar 1 capital risks under Basel I. Basel II added operational risk. Liquidity risk is not a Pillar 1 capital charge. It is covered by separate liquidity standards, the LCR and NSFR, under Basel III.
- Governance chain
- Board → Risk Management Committee of the Board → Management committees (credit, ALCO, operational risk) → CRO and risk department
- State who approves, who oversees and who executes.
- Credit risk
- Risk of loss if a borrower or counterparty fails to meet its obligations
- Linked to loans, investments, guarantees and derivatives. Use this definition word for word in answers.
- Market risk
- Market risk = interest rate risk + equity price risk + foreign exchange risk + commodity price risk (on market-sensitive positions)
- Say 'arising from movements in market prices'. Do not confuse it with credit risk.
- Operational risk
- Loss from inadequate or failed internal processes, people and systems, or external events
- Includes legal risk. Strategic and reputational risk are normally excluded from the regulatory definition.
- Liquidity gap
- Liquidity gap in a time bucket = Cash inflows (maturing assets) − Cash outflows (maturing liabilities). A negative gap means a shortfall in that bucket.
- Liquidity is judged by cash flow mismatches across time buckets.
- Interest rate gap
- Gap = Rate sensitive assets (RSA) − Rate sensitive liabilities (RSL)
- Positive gap: earnings rise if rates rise. Negative gap: earnings fall if rates rise. This assumes a parallel rate move.
- Expected loss
- EL = PD × LGD × EAD
- PD is probability of default, LGD is loss given default, EAD is exposure at default. Provisions are meant to cover expected loss; capital covers unexpected loss.
- Risk-weighted asset for credit risk
- Credit RWA = Exposure × Risk weight
- Exposure here is after any eligible credit risk mitigation. Capital required = RWA × minimum capital ratio.
- Exposure ceiling
- Maximum exposure = Ceiling % × Capital funds
- Use the percentage in the current RBI exposure norms for single and group borrowers. Capital funds is as defined by RBI, so do not use total assets.
- Loss given default
- LGD = 1 − Recovery rate
- Recovery rate is the share of exposure recovered after default, net of costs.
- Net exposure after collateral (simple approach)
- Net exposure = Exposure − Eligible collateral value (after haircut)
- Eligible collateral is cut by a haircut for price volatility. Net exposure cannot be negative for capital purposes.
- Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR)
- LCR = Stock of high quality liquid assets (HQLA) ÷ Total net cash outflows over the next 30 calendar days × 100
- Basel III requires LCR to be at least 100%. It covers a 30-day stress scenario. Check the current RBI minimum and any relaxation before quoting.
- Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR)
- NSFR = Available stable funding ÷ Required stable funding × 100
- Basel III requires at least 100%. It looks at a one-year horizon and limits reliance on short-term funding for long-term assets.
- Net cash outflows
- Net cash outflows = Total expected cash outflows − Minimum of (total expected cash inflows, 75% of total expected cash outflows)
- Under Basel III, inflows are capped at 75% of outflows, so net outflows are never below 25% of gross outflows.
- Liquidity gap
- Gap in a time bucket = Rate or cash inflows (assets) − outflows (liabilities) in that bucket
- A negative gap means outflows exceed inflows in that bucket. Compare the gap with the limit set by the board.
- Rate sensitivity gap
- Gap = Rate sensitive assets (RSA) − Rate sensitive liabilities (RSL)
- A positive gap means net interest income rises when rates rise. A negative gap means it falls.
- Change in net interest income
- Change in NII ≈ Gap × Change in interest rate
- Applies to a given bucket over a given period. For a one-year view use the cumulative one-year gap.
- Scaling VaR to a longer horizon
- VaR for N days = 1-day VaR × √N
- Holds under the assumption of independent, identically distributed daily returns. Basel's market risk approach used a 10-day horizon.
- Parametric VaR
- VaR = Position value × z × σ (for the chosen horizon)
- z is about 1.65 at 95% and 2.33 at 99% confidence for a one-tailed normal distribution. σ is the standard deviation of returns.
- Capital adequacy ratio (CRAR)
- CRAR = (Eligible capital ÷ Risk-weighted assets) × 100
- Capital is Tier 1 plus Tier 2 under the rules. Risk-weighted assets are exposures multiplied by risk weights.
- Risk-weighted asset for one exposure
- RWA = Exposure amount × Risk weight
- Add up RWA across all assets, including off-balance-sheet items after conversion to credit equivalents.
- Basel minimum under Basel I and II
- Minimum total capital = 8% of RWA
- Under Basel I this covered credit risk (market risk added in 1996). Basel II extended RWA to include market and operational risk.
- RBI minimum under Basel II
- Minimum CRAR = 9% of RWA
- RBI prescribed 9%, higher than the Basel 8%.
- Basel II total RWA
- Total RWA = Credit RWA + Market-risk RWA + Operational-risk RWA
- Capital charges for market and operational risk are converted to RWA by multiplying by 12.5 (the reciprocal of 8%).
- Three pillars of Basel II
- Pillar 1: Minimum capital | Pillar 2: Supervisory review | Pillar 3: Market discipline
- Learn the order and the purpose of each.
- Capital adequacy ratio (CRAR)
- CRAR = (Eligible Tier 1 + Tier 2 capital) ÷ Risk-weighted assets × 100
- Risk-weighted assets cover credit, market and operational risk. Basel minimum total capital is 8% of RWA; RBI requires 9% for Indian banks, excluding buffers.
- Basel minimum CET1 and Tier 1
- CET1 ≥ 4.5% of RWA; Tier 1 ≥ 6% of RWA (Basel minimum)
- RBI's own minimum for CET1 is 5.5% and for Tier 1 is 7%. Check the latest RBI circular.
- Capital Conservation Buffer
- CCB = 2.5% of RWA, held in CET1
- Applies on top of minimum capital. Falling into it limits dividends and bonuses.
- Countercyclical Capital Buffer
- CCyB = 0% to 2.5% of RWA, in CET1, set by the regulator
- Activated when credit growth is excessive; it is not a permanent buffer.
- Leverage ratio
- Leverage ratio = Tier 1 capital ÷ Total exposure (on and off balance sheet) × 100
- Basel minimum is 3%. RBI sets higher levels for some banks; confirm the current figure.
- Liquidity Coverage Ratio
- LCR = Stock of HQLA ÷ Total net cash outflows over next 30 days ≥ 100%
- Short-term, 30-day stress test.
- Net Stable Funding Ratio
- NSFR = Available stable funding ÷ Required stable funding ≥ 100%
- One-year structural measure; limits reliance on short-term wholesale funding.
- CRAR
- CRAR (%) = (Tier 1 capital + Tier 2 capital) ÷ Total RWA × 100
- Use eligible capital after regulatory deductions and any limits on Tier 2.
- Tier 1 capital
- Tier 1 = CET1 + Additional Tier 1 (AT1)
- CET1 is mainly equity, share premium and reserves, less deductions.
- Total capital
- Total regulatory capital = Tier 1 + Tier 2
- Tier 2 is gone-concern capital.
- Risk-weighted asset (funded)
- RWA = Asset amount × Risk weight %
- Sum across all assets to get credit-risk RWA.
- Off-balance-sheet RWA
- RWA = Notional amount × Credit conversion factor (CCF) × Risk weight %
- CCF converts the contingent item into an on-balance-sheet equivalent.
- Total RWA
- Total RWA = Credit-risk RWA + Market-risk RWA + Operational-risk RWA
- If the question gives only credit risk, state that assumption.
- Minimum requirement (Basel III as applied by RBI)
- Total capital ≥ 9% of RWA; Tier 1 ≥ 7%; CET1 ≥ 5.5%; plus 2.5% conservation buffer in CET1
- Quote the figures as per the RBI master circular in force. Use the figures given in the question if they differ.
Quick revision
- Risk management means identify, measure, monitor and control risk, with the board holding final responsibility.
- The main banking risks are credit, market, liquidity and operational risk, along with others such as reputation and compliance risk.
- Credit risk is the risk that a borrower fails to repay as agreed.
- Market risk comes from changes in interest rates, exchange rates and prices of securities.
- Liquidity risk is the inability to meet payment obligations when they fall due.
- Operational risk arises from failed processes, people, systems or external events.
- Basel I focused mainly on credit risk and minimum capital against risk-weighted assets.
- Basel II rests on three pillars: minimum capital requirements, supervisory review and market discipline.
- Basel III raised the quality and quantity of capital and added a leverage ratio and liquidity standards.
- Regulatory capital is divided into tiers, and the ratio is capital divided by risk-weighted assets.
- Always confirm current RBI minimum ratios and buffers from the latest directions before writing figures.
Common mistakes
- Saying risk management means eliminating risk. Fix: Write that banks take risk to earn returns and manage it within an approved risk appetite and limits.
- Placing responsibility only on the risk department. Fix: State that the Board is ultimately responsible, committees oversee, and business units own day-to-day risk.
- Treating credit risk and market risk as the same because both cause losses. Fix: Credit risk comes from the counterparty's failure to pay. Market risk comes from price movements even when everyone pays.
- Calling a loan default caused by fraud inside the bank a credit risk only. Fix: Ask the cause. Borrower inability is credit risk. Staff collusion or process failure is operational risk, even if a loan is lost.
- Treating credit risk mitigation as removal of credit risk. Fix: Say mitigation reduces loss on default. Mention residual risks such as valuation, enforceability and documentation.
- Confusing exposure norms with risk weights. Fix: Exposure norms cap how much can be lent to a borrower or group. Risk weights decide how much capital is needed against an exposure.
- Treating liquidity risk and solvency risk as the same thing. Fix: Say that liquidity is about timing of cash, solvency is about assets versus liabilities. A solvent bank can still face a liquidity crisis.
- Using total inflows in LCR net outflows without the cap. Fix: Cap inflows at 75% of outflows. Net outflows cannot fall below 25% of gross outflows.
- Saying Basel norms are binding law on Indian banks as issued by the Committee. Fix: State that the Committee only recommends. RBI makes the norms binding by issuing directions.
- Mixing up the pillars, for example calling Pillar 2 market discipline. Fix: Remember the order: 1 capital, 2 supervisors, 3 market. Pillar 3 is disclosure.
Exam tips
- Structure answers as definition, process, governance, RBI expectation, conclusion. It earns marks even when your details are incomplete.
- In case questions, point to the specific failure, such as no independence or no limits, then give the fix.
- Use the exact terms Board, Risk Management Committee, ALCO, CRO and three lines of defence.
- Do not quote circular numbers or limits you are unsure of. Describe the requirement in words.
- Link this topic to credit, market and operational risk and to Basel in the same answer when the question allows.
- Start every answer with a one-line definition. It secures marks even if the case is unclear.
- In case questions, quote the fact that points to the risk, then name it. Examiners reward the link.
- For distinguish questions, use two or three points: source, effect and control.