NISM Certifications · NISM-Series-XV: Research Analyst
Valuation Principles: formula sheet
Key formulas
- Future value (single sum)
- FV = PV × (1 + r)ⁿ
- r is the rate per period and n is the number of periods. Match them (e.g. half-yearly rate with half-yearly periods).
- Present value (single sum)
- PV = FV ÷ (1 + r)ⁿ
- This is discounting. Higher r or longer n gives lower PV.
- Periodic rate for compounding m times a year
- Periodic rate = Annual rate ÷ m; periods = years × m
- Use this when the question says half-yearly, quarterly or monthly compounding.
- PV of ordinary annuity
- PV = C × [1 − (1 + r)⁻ⁿ] ÷ r
- C is the cash flow at the end of each period. The PV sits one period before the first cash flow.
- FV of ordinary annuity
- FV = C × [(1 + r)ⁿ − 1] ÷ r
- Value is at the time of the last payment.
- Annuity due adjustment
- Annuity due value = Ordinary annuity value × (1 + r)
- Applies to both PV and FV. Each payment is one period earlier.
- PV of perpetuity
- PV = C ÷ r
- First cash flow is one period from now. r must be a rate per period of the cash flow.
- PV of growing perpetuity
- PV = C₁ ÷ (r − g)
- C₁ is the next period's cash flow. Valid only when r > g.
- Effective annual rate
- EAR = (1 + Annual rate ÷ m)ᵐ − 1
- More frequent compounding gives a higher EAR for the same stated rate.
- CAPM (cost of equity)
- Ke = Rf + β × (Rm − Rf)
- Rf is the risk-free rate, Rm the expected market return. (Rm − Rf) is the market risk premium.
- After-tax cost of debt
- Kd (after tax) = Kd × (1 − T)
- T is the tax rate. Use the interest rate on the debt, not the coupon of an old issue if market yield differs.
- WACC
- WACC = (E ÷ V) × Ke + (D ÷ V) × Kd × (1 − T)
- E = market value of equity, D = market value of debt, V = E + D.
- Capital weights
- E ÷ V and D ÷ V, where V = E + D
- The weights must add up to 1 (or 100%).
- FCFF from net income
- FCFF = Net income + Non-cash charges + Interest × (1 − t) − Fixed capital investment − Increase in working capital
- t is the tax rate. Interest is added back after tax because FCFF is before payments to lenders.
- FCFF from EBIT
- FCFF = EBIT × (1 − t) + Depreciation − Capex − Increase in working capital
- Use the increase in non-cash working capital. A decrease adds to cash flow.
- FCFE from FCFF
- FCFE = FCFF − Interest × (1 − t) + Net borrowing
- Net borrowing = new debt raised − debt repaid.
- FCFE from net income
- FCFE = Net income + Depreciation − Capex − Increase in working capital + Net borrowing
- Interest is already deducted in net income, so do not subtract it again.
- Firm value (FCFF)
- Firm value = Σ FCFFt ÷ (1 + WACC)^t + Terminal value ÷ (1 + WACC)^n
- Equity value = Firm value − Debt + Cash (net debt deducted).
- Equity value (FCFE)
- Equity value = Σ FCFEt ÷ (1 + ke)^t + Terminal value ÷ (1 + ke)^n
- ke is the cost of equity.
- Terminal value (Gordon growth)
- TVn = CFn+1 ÷ (r − g) = CFn × (1 + g) ÷ (r − g)
- Valid only when g < r. r is WACC for FCFF and ke for FCFE.
- WACC
- WACC = E/V × ke + D/V × kd × (1 − t)
- Weights use market values of equity and debt.
- Gordon growth model
- P₀ = D₁ ÷ (r − g)
- Valid only when r > g and growth is constant forever. D₁ is next year's dividend.
- Next dividend from last dividend
- D₁ = D₀ × (1 + g)
- If the question gives the dividend just paid (D₀), grow it by one year first.
- General DDM
- P₀ = Σ Dₜ ÷ (1 + r)ᵗ, for t = 1 to ∞
- Value is the present value of all expected dividends.
- Terminal value at end of year n
- Pₙ = Dₙ₊₁ ÷ (r − g₂)
- Used in multi-stage models. Dₙ₊₁ = Dₙ × (1 + g₂). Discount Pₙ back by (1 + r)ⁿ.
- Two-stage model value
- P₀ = Σ Dₜ ÷ (1 + r)ᵗ (t = 1 to n) + Pₙ ÷ (1 + r)ⁿ
- High-growth dividends plus discounted terminal value.
- Implied growth or return
- r = D₁ ÷ P₀ + g
- Rearranged Gordon model: expected dividend yield plus growth.
- Sustainable growth rate
- g = ROE × retention ratio
- Retention ratio = 1 − dividend payout ratio. Used to estimate g.
- Price to earnings (P/E)
- P/E = Market price per share ÷ Earnings per share (EPS)
- Equivalent to market capitalisation ÷ net profit. Trailing uses past 12 months EPS; forward uses expected EPS.
- Price to book (P/B)
- P/B = Market price per share ÷ Book value per share
- Book value per share = shareholders' equity ÷ number of shares. Preferred for banks and financials.
- Price to sales (P/S)
- P/S = Market capitalisation ÷ Revenue (or price per share ÷ sales per share)
- Useful when earnings are negative. Ignores margins, so compare only within the same industry.
- Enterprise value (EV)
- EV = Market capitalisation + Total debt + Preference capital + Minority interest − Cash and cash equivalents
- Some texts use net debt (debt − cash). Know that EV is the value of the whole operating business.
- EV/EBITDA
- EV/EBITDA = Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
- Capital-structure neutral. Equity value = EV − net debt (and other claims).
- PEG ratio
- PEG = P/E ÷ Expected annual EPS growth rate (in % points)
- Growth is entered as a number, so 20% growth means divide by 20. A PEG near or below 1 is often read as reasonable, but this is only a rule of thumb.
- Implied value from peer multiple
- Implied price = Peer multiple × Company's metric per share
- For EV multiples: Implied EV = Peer multiple × EBITDA, then subtract net debt and divide by shares.
- Net asset value
- NAV = Value of assets − Value of liabilities
- Use fair values where available. NAV per share = NAV ÷ number of shares.
- Replacement cost comparison
- Market value of firm ÷ Replacement cost of assets
- A ratio below 1 suggests the market values the firm below the cost of rebuilding its assets.
- Sum-of-the-parts equity value
- Equity value = Σ (segment values) + non-operating assets − net debt and other claims
- Value each segment with a method suited to it.
- Residual income
- RI = Net income − (Cost of equity × Beginning book value of equity)
- The deduction is the equity charge.
- Residual income valuation
- Equity value = Book value now + PV of future residual incomes
- Discount residual incomes at the cost of equity.
- Economic Value Added
- EVA = NOPAT − (WACC × Invested capital)
- NOPAT is net operating profit after tax. Positive EVA means value creation.
Quick revision
- Present value = future value ÷ (1 + r)ⁿ.
- A perpetuity's value = cash flow ÷ r.
- A growing perpetuity's value = next year's cash flow ÷ (r − g), valid only when r > g.
- FCFF is discounted at WACC and gives firm value; subtract debt to reach equity value.
- FCFE is discounted at cost of equity and gives equity value directly.
- WACC = weights of equity and debt times their costs, with debt cost taken after tax.
- Gordon growth model: value = D1 ÷ (ke − g), where D1 is next year's dividend.
- Terminal value often forms a large share of DCF value, so it is sensitive to assumptions.
- P/E = price ÷ earnings per share; compare it only with similar companies.
- EV includes debt, so EV multiples are compared with firm-level measures like EBITDA, not with per-share earnings.
- Asset-based methods value assets less liabilities and may ignore future earning power.
- Read each question for the exact rate, period and cash flow before calculating.
Common mistakes
- Using the annual rate with half-yearly or quarterly periods. Fix: Divide the rate by m and multiply the years by m before any calculation.
- Adding cash flows from different years without discounting. Fix: Bring each cash flow to the same date first, then add.
- Using Rm instead of (Rm − Rf) in the beta term. Fix: Write Rf + β × (Rm − Rf). Beta multiplies only the premium.
- Using pre-tax cost of debt in WACC. Fix: Always multiply Kd by (1 − T) unless the question says the rate is already after tax.
- Discounting FCFF at the cost of equity, or FCFE at WACC. Fix: FCFF belongs to all capital providers, so use WACC. FCFE belongs to shareholders, so use cost of equity.
- Forgetting to subtract debt after valuing with FCFF. Fix: FCFF gives firm value. Subtract net debt (and other claims) to get equity value before dividing by shares.
- Using D₀ directly in the Gordon formula. Fix: Read the wording. Just paid or last year's dividend means D₀, so multiply by (1 + g). Expected next year means D₁.
- Applying the Gordon formula when g is greater than or equal to r. Fix: Always check r > g first. If not, the constant growth model cannot be used.
- Dividing EV by net profit or P/E-style EPS, or price by EBITDA. Fix: EV pairs with EBITDA (before interest). Price or market cap pairs with EPS or net profit.
- Treating the EV/EBITDA result as the share price. Fix: Peer multiple × EBITDA gives EV. Subtract net debt, then divide by number of shares.
Exam tips
- Read the compounding frequency and timing words (end of year, beginning of year, forever) before touching the formula.
- For perpetuity questions, check whether the cash flow given is the next one or the current one when growth is involved.
- Know the direction rules: higher rate lowers PV and raises FV; longer time lowers PV and raises FV.
- Conceptual options often test that a riskier cash flow needs a higher discount rate and so has a lower present value.
- Wrong answers cost marks in this exam, so use the direction and size checks to remove options before guessing.
- Questions usually give numbers and ask for one step, such as Ke or after-tax Kd. Do not compute more than needed.
- Watch for 'after-tax' and 'pre-tax' wording in options. The trap is the pre-tax answer.
- Remember which rate goes with which cash flow: WACC with FCFF, Ke with FCFE and dividends.