NISM Certifications · NISM-Series-XXI-A: Portfolio Management Services (PMS) Distributors
Performance Measurement and Evaluation of Portfolio Managers: formula sheet
Key formulas
- Absolute return
- Absolute return (%) = (Ending value − Beginning value) ÷ Beginning value × 100
- No time adjustment. Add income received if it is not already in the ending value.
- CAGR
- CAGR = (Ending value ÷ Beginning value)^(1/n) − 1
- n is the number of years. Valid only when there are no interim cash flows.
- Sub-period return
- R = (Ending value of the sub-period before any flow − Beginning value of the sub-period) ÷ Beginning value of the sub-period, or R = Ending value before any flow ÷ Beginning value − 1
- A sub-period ends at a cash flow or at the period end. Value the portfolio just before each cash flow, or at the period end for the last sub-period. Beginning value of the next sub-period includes the flow.
- TWRR (linked return)
- TWRR = [(1 + R1) × (1 + R2) × ... × (1 + Rn)] − 1
- Annualise only if the total period is more than one year, using the CAGR step on the linked result.
- XIRR
- Σ [Cash flow(i) ÷ (1 + XIRR)^((date(i) − date(0)) ÷ 365)] = 0
- Investments are negative, withdrawals and the final value are positive. Solved by spreadsheet or calculator, not by hand.
- Standard deviation (σ)
- σ = √[ Σ(R − average R)² ÷ (n − 1) ]
- Uses sample data, so divide by n − 1. Higher σ means higher total risk. Annualising monthly σ: multiply by √12.
- Beta (β)
- β = Covariance(Rp, Rm) ÷ Variance(Rm)
- Market beta is 1. β > 1 is aggressive, β < 1 is defensive. It measures only systematic risk.
- Beta from correlation
- β = ρ × (σp ÷ σm)
- ρ is the correlation between portfolio and market returns.
- Tracking error
- TE = standard deviation of (Rp − Rb)
- Rb is the benchmark return. It is not the simple difference of the two returns.
- Active return
- Active return = Rp − Rb
- This is the series whose standard deviation gives tracking error.
- Maximum drawdown
- MDD = (Trough value − Peak value) ÷ Peak value
- Shown as a negative percentage or as a fall in percent. Peak must come before the trough.
- Sharpe ratio
- Sharpe = (Rp − Rf) ÷ σp
- σp is the standard deviation of portfolio returns. Uses total risk.
- Treynor ratio
- Treynor = (Rp − Rf) ÷ βp
- Uses beta, so only market risk. Assumes a diversified portfolio.
- CAPM expected return
- E(Rp) = Rf + βp × (Rm − Rf)
- Rm is the market return. Used inside Jensen's alpha.
- Jensen's alpha
- α = Rp − [Rf + βp × (Rm − Rf)]
- Positive means outperformance after adjusting for beta. Zero means fair return for the risk.
- Sortino ratio
- Sortino = (Rp − Target) ÷ Downside deviation
- The target is often the risk-free rate or a minimum acceptable return. Only returns below target enter the denominator.
- Information ratio
- IR = (Rp − Rb) ÷ Tracking error
- Rb is the benchmark return. Tracking error is the standard deviation of (Rp − Rb).
- Excess return (alpha over benchmark)
- Excess return = Portfolio return − Benchmark return
- Positive means the manager outperformed. Both returns must cover the same period and be calculated the same way.
- Characteristics of a good benchmark
- Appropriate • Investable • Transparent • Measurable • Specified in advance • Unambiguous
- Remember these as a checklist. Exam options often swap in wrong traits such as 'highest return' or 'most popular'.
- Fair comparison rule
- Portfolio return (with dividends) ↔ Total return index (TRI)
- A price index leaves out dividends, so it understates the benchmark's return.
- Sub-period return
- r = (Value at end of sub-period, before any new flow) ÷ (Value at start of sub-period) − 1
- A new sub-period begins every time there is a deposit or withdrawal. The start value includes any flow made at that point.
- TWRR (cumulative)
- TWRR = [(1 + r₁) × (1 + r₂) × … × (1 + rₙ)] − 1
- Sub-period returns are linked by multiplication, not added. Cash flows do not change the result.
- Annualising a multi-year return
- Annualised return = (1 + cumulative return)^(1 ÷ years) − 1
- Used for periods longer than one year. For periods under a year, the return is generally shown as an absolute (non-annualised) figure. Confirm the exact convention in the workbook.
- Core reporting rules
- Method = TWRR; Data repository = APMI; Comparison = against benchmark
- Returns must follow the prescribed method and period. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.
- Active return
- Active return = Portfolio return − Benchmark return
- The total value added or lost versus the benchmark. Attribution effects add up to this.
- Allocation effect (per segment)
- (Wp − Wb) × (Rb_segment − Rb_total)
- Wp and Wb are portfolio and benchmark weights. Rb_segment is benchmark return of the segment. Some versions use (Wp − Wb) × Rb_segment; both are used, so follow the data given.
- Selection effect (per segment)
- Wb × (Rp_segment − Rb_segment)
- Uses the benchmark weight. Rp_segment is the portfolio's return in that segment.
- Interaction effect (per segment)
- (Wp − Wb) × (Rp_segment − Rb_segment)
- Combined effect of different weight and different selection.
- Total attribution
- Allocation + Selection + Interaction = Active return
- Use this to check your arithmetic.
Quick revision
- Absolute return = (Ending value − Beginning value) ÷ Beginning value; it ignores time.
- CAGR = (Ending value ÷ Beginning value)^(1 ÷ n) − 1, where n is years; it suits a single investment with no interim flows.
- XIRR handles irregular cash flows on specific dates; it reflects the investor's own timing of money.
- TWRR removes the effect of cash flows, so it measures the manager's skill rather than the client's timing.
- Standard deviation measures total risk, meaning the volatility of returns.
- Beta measures sensitivity to the market; a beta above 1 means the portfolio moves more than the market.
- Tracking error is the standard deviation of the difference between portfolio and benchmark returns.
- Sharpe ratio = (Portfolio return − Risk-free return) ÷ Standard deviation; it uses total risk.
- Treynor ratio = (Portfolio return − Risk-free return) ÷ Beta; it uses market risk only.
- Alpha is the excess return over what beta and the market explain; Sortino counts only downside deviation.
- Choose a benchmark that matches the strategy and compare managers with similar mandates.
- Past performance does not guarantee future returns; never promise returns to clients.
Common mistakes
- Using CAGR for a portfolio with additions or withdrawals Fix: Check for interim flows first. If they exist, use XIRR for the client's return and TWRR for the manager.
- Including the cash flow in the sub-period gain Fix: Take the value just before the flow as the end of that sub-period. The deposit starts the next one.
- Saying beta measures total risk. Fix: Beta is only market (systematic) risk. Standard deviation is total risk.
- Calling tracking error the difference between portfolio and benchmark return. Fix: That gap is active return. Tracking error is the standard deviation of that active return.
- Using total return instead of excess return in Sharpe or Treynor. Fix: Always subtract Rf in the numerator. Only the information ratio uses the benchmark instead.
- Mixing up standard deviation and beta in Sharpe and Treynor. Fix: Remember: Sharpe = Standard deviation (both start with S). Treynor = beta (T for 'the market's beta').
- Comparing a mid-cap or small-cap PMS with the Nifty 50. Fix: Match the index to the strategy. Use a mid-cap or small-cap index for those strategies, or a broad index for multi-cap.
- Using a price index when a TRI is available. Fix: Remember that TRI includes reinvested dividends. It is the like-for-like comparison.
- Adding sub-period returns instead of multiplying them. Fix: Always link with (1 + r) factors. 10% and 20% give 1.10 × 1.20 − 1 = 32%, not 30%.
- Using the closing value minus total money invested as the return when cash flows occurred. Fix: Remember that TWRR removes the effect of client flows. Split the period at each flow and link the sub-period returns.
Exam tips
- Look for the keywords: 'manager skill' or 'remove effect of cash flows' points to TWRR; 'client's experience' or 'dated cash flows' points to XIRR.
- Do not annualise returns for periods of one year or less unless the question says so.
- Expect conceptual MCQs: which measure is affected by cash flow timing, and which is preferred to compare managers.
- NISM-Series-XXI-A has negative marking of 10% of the marks for each question, so avoid blind guesses.
- Compute the growth factors first. Many options differ only by adding rather than compounding returns.
- Expect definition questions that ask which measure fits a situation. Learn the keyword matches.
- Watch for options that swap beta and standard deviation, or tracking error and active return.
- Remember the benchmark beta is 1, and use that to judge aggressive or defensive portfolios.