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FRM Part I · FRM Exam Part I · Binomial Trees

A analyst builds a Cox-Ross-Rubinstein tree for a non-dividend-paying stock with annual volatility of 20%, using time steps of 0.25 years (u = e^(σ√Δt), d = 1/u). Which pair gives the correct up and down factors?

The up factor is 1.1052 and the down factor is 0.9048. With volatility 20% and Δt of 0.25, σ√Δt equals 0.10, so u = e^0.10 and d = e^-0.10. This choice makes the tree's volatility match the lognormal model.

  1. Au = 1.1052, d = 0.9048Correct
  2. Bu = 1.2214, d = 0.8187
  3. Cu = 1.0513, d = 0.9512
  4. Du = 1.1052, d = 0.8948

Explanation

σ√Δt = 0.20 × 0.5 = 0.10. So u = e^0.10 = 1.1052 and d = e^-0.10 = 0.9048. Using e^0.20 forgets to scale by the square root of Δt; using 1 - 0.1052 for d breaks the u·d = 1 condition.

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