FRM Part II · FRM Exam Part II · Liquidity Stress Testing
A bank designs a liquidity stress scenario that combines a credit rating downgrade, a run-off of uninsured deposits and a sharp rise in haircuts on repo collateral. Which statement best describes why such a combined scenario is more useful than testing each factor in isolation?
A combined scenario is more useful because liquidity drivers interact and amplify one another, for example a downgrade triggering collateral calls and deposit flight. Testing factors alone, or assuming independence and diversification, would understate the total cash outflow and survival risk.
- ALiquidity shocks are independent, so combining them lowers the estimated total outflow through diversification
- BCombined scenarios are used only to compute regulatory capital and not cash flows
- CLiquidity risk drivers interact and reinforce each other, so a combined scenario captures second-round effects such as collateral calls triggered by the downgradeCorrect
- DSingle-factor tests are prohibited by supervisors
Explanation
In stress periods, funding, market and contingent drivers are correlated and feed each other, for example a downgrade triggers collateral calls and deposit flight. Assuming independence understates outflows, so the diversification claim is wrong. Single-factor tests are not prohibited; they are useful as sensitivities.
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