FRM Part II · FRM Exam Part II · Regression Hedging and Principal Component Analysis
A bank hedges a bond portfolio's term structure risk using the first three principal components of yield changes, which together explain 97% of variance. Compared with hedging each of the ten key rates separately, what is the main advantage of the PCA approach?
The main advantage is dimension reduction: three uncorrelated factors capture 97% of variance, so fewer hedges are needed than for ten separate key rates. It does not remove the residual 3% risk, and the covariance matrix must still be estimated.
- AIt eliminates all interest rate risk, including that from the omitted components
- BIt reduces the number of risk factors to hedge while capturing most variance, using uncorrelated factorsCorrect
- CIt ensures the hedge ratios are stable whenever the correlation structure changes
- DIt removes the need to estimate a covariance matrix
Explanation
PCA reduces dimensionality: three uncorrelated factors replace ten correlated rates while retaining most variance. The residual 3% remains unhedged, so it does not eliminate all risk. PCA still requires a covariance or correlation matrix, and instability of that matrix is a limitation.
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