FRM Part II · FRM Exam Part II · Fundamentals of Credit Risk
A bank's loan has a PD of 4%, LGD of 50% and EAD of USD 2,000,000. Which statement about the loan's credit loss is correct?
Expected loss is 4% x 50% x USD 2 million = USD 40,000. It is a predictable cost covered through loan pricing and provisions, whereas capital is held against unexpected loss, the variability of losses around the expected level.
- AExpected loss is USD 40,000 and is normally covered by pricing and provisions, while unexpected loss is covered by capital.Correct
- BExpected loss is USD 40,000 and is normally covered by capital, while unexpected loss is covered by provisions.
- CExpected loss is USD 80,000 and is normally covered by pricing and provisions, while unexpected loss is covered by capital.
- DExpected loss is USD 100,000 and is normally covered by capital.
Explanation
EL = 0.04 x 0.50 x 2,000,000 = USD 40,000. Expected loss is treated as a cost of doing business, priced into spreads and provisioned; unexpected loss, the volatility around EL, is what capital absorbs. Reversing the roles is wrong.
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