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FRM Part II · FRM Exam Part II · Risk Identification

A bank's operational risk team wants an indicator that signals rising risk exposure before losses are recorded in the loss database. Which of the following is the best example of such a forward-looking key risk indicator (KRI)?

Staff turnover in the payments unit is the best forward-looking KRI because it measures a driver of future errors and control weakness. Booked losses, fines paid and closed incidents are lagging outcomes that reveal problems only after they have already happened.

  1. ATotal operational losses booked in the previous quarter
  2. BStaff turnover rate in the payments operations unitCorrect
  3. CAggregate regulatory fines paid during the past year
  4. DNumber of loss events closed by the incident team last month

Explanation

KRIs are metrics that act as early warnings of changes in risk drivers. Staff turnover reflects a cause of future errors and control failures. The other options are lagging measures of outcomes that have already occurred, such as losses and fines, or measure the incident team's activity.

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