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CFA Level I · CFA Level I Exam · Monetary Policy

A central bank targeting inflation of 2% sees inflation at 4% and output at potential. The neutral nominal policy rate is 3%. Assuming the central bank follows a policy that is most consistent with its mandate, which policy rate stance is most likely appropriate?

A policy rate above the 3% neutral rate is most appropriate. Inflation exceeds the 2% target while output is at potential, so the central bank should tighten to bring inflation down. Rates below neutral would be expansionary and push inflation higher.

  1. AA rate below 3% to stimulate growth
  2. BA rate equal to the 2% inflation target
  3. CA rate above 3% to restrain inflationCorrect

Explanation

Inflation above target with output at potential calls for contractionary policy, meaning a policy rate above the neutral rate of 3%. A rate below neutral would be expansionary and worsen inflation, and setting the rate at the inflation target ignores the neutral rate and would be accommodative.

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