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CFA Level I · CFA Level I Exam · Monetary Policy

A central bank targets an inflation rate of 2%, and actual inflation is 4% with the economy growing above potential. Following a Taylor-rule-style approach, the central bank would most likely:

The central bank would most likely raise the policy rate. Inflation exceeds the 2% target and growth is above potential, and a Taylor-style rule responds to both gaps with a higher rate that slows demand and brings inflation back toward target.

  1. Araise the policy rate to slow demandCorrect
  2. Blower the policy rate to support growth
  3. Ckeep the policy rate unchanged to preserve credibility

Explanation

Inflation above target and output above potential both imply that a rule-based approach calls for a higher policy rate to cool demand. Lowering rates would add stimulus and worsen inflation. Holding the rate fixed ignores both gaps.

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