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FRM Part II · FRM Exam Part II · Distress Symptoms and Remedies

A fund evaluates two distressed bonds of the same issuer: Bond X is senior unsecured and Bond Y is subordinated. Value available to unsecured and junior classes is $240 million. Senior unsecured claims are $200 million and subordinated claims are $100 million. Bond X trades at 85 and Bond Y at 30, both per 100 of face. Under absolute priority, which statement is correct?

Senior unsecured creditors are paid in full from the $240 million, recovering 100, leaving $40 million for $100 million of subordinated claims, a 40 recovery. Bond Y at 30 offers a 33% upside versus about 18% for Bond X at 85, so Y has the larger percentage upside.

  1. ABond X expected recovery is 100 and Bond Y is 40, so Bond Y is cheaper relative to expected recovery, with Bond Y offering the larger percentage upsideCorrect
  2. BBond X expected recovery is 100 and Bond Y is 40, so Bond X offers the larger percentage upside
  3. CBond X expected recovery is 80 and Bond Y is 40, so both are overpriced
  4. DBond X expected recovery is 120 and Bond Y is 0

Explanation

Senior unsecured is paid 200 in full (recovery 100). The remaining 40 goes to subordinated claims of 100, a recovery of 40. Upside for X is 100/85 - 1 = 17.6%; for Y is 40/30 - 1 = 33.3%. Y offers greater percentage upside, though with more valuation risk.

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