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FRM Part I · FRM Exam Part I · Measures of Financial Risk

A portfolio's daily profit and loss is normally distributed with a mean of zero and a standard deviation of USD 2.0 million. Using a z-value of 2.33 for the 99% confidence level, what is the one-day 99% VaR?

The one-day 99% VaR is USD 4.66 million. With a zero mean and normally distributed P&L, VaR equals the 99% z-value of 2.33 multiplied by the USD 2.0 million standard deviation, giving the loss threshold exceeded only 1% of the time.

  1. AUSD 4.66 millionCorrect
  2. BUSD 3.29 million
  3. CUSD 2.33 million
  4. DUSD 1.65 million

Explanation

With zero mean, VaR = z x sigma = 2.33 x 2.0 = USD 4.66 million. USD 3.29 million uses the 95% z-value of 1.645, which is the wrong confidence level. USD 2.33 million forgets to multiply by sigma.

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