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FRM Part I · FRM Exam Part I · Regression Diagnostics

A risk analyst adds three irrelevant variables, uncorrelated with the dependent variable in the population, to a correct regression model that already includes all relevant regressors. Which is the most accurate consequence?

Coefficient estimates stay unbiased, but their variances tend to rise and adjusted R² may fall. Irrelevant variables use degrees of freedom and may be correlated with relevant regressors, which reduces precision without introducing bias. Plain R² never decreases when variables are added.

  1. ACoefficient estimates become biased, and the standard errors fall
  2. BCoefficient estimates remain unbiased, but their variances tend to increase and adjusted R² may fallCorrect
  3. CCoefficient estimates remain unbiased and R² is guaranteed to fall
  4. DThe residuals become autocorrelated, invalidating the t-tests

Explanation

Including irrelevant variables does not cause bias, since the true coefficients on them are zero. It does use up degrees of freedom and, if they are correlated with the relevant regressors, inflates variances. R² never falls when variables are added, while adjusted R² can fall.

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