FRM Part II · FRM Exam Part II · Portfolio Credit Risk
A risk manager compares industry credit portfolio models. Which statement correctly describes the CreditMetrics approach to measuring portfolio credit risk?
CreditMetrics uses rating transition probabilities together with a Merton-type asset-value framework, where correlated asset returns drive migrations. The portfolio is revalued at the risk horizon, capturing both default and migration losses. The Poisson and gamma description belongs to CreditRisk+.
- AIt models default as a Poisson process driven by common macroeconomic factors with gamma-distributed risk factors
- BIt uses rating transition probabilities and an asset-value (Merton-type) framework with correlated asset returns to value the portfolio at the risk horizonCorrect
- CIt applies a reduced-form hazard rate calibrated solely to bond spreads with no correlation input
- DIt relies on historical portfolio loss data to extrapolate loss distribution without any modeling of individual obligors
Explanation
CreditMetrics is a mark-to-market, migration-based model. Obligor rating changes are driven by correlated asset returns in a Merton-type framework, and the portfolio is revalued at the horizon. The Poisson/gamma description fits CreditRisk+, not CreditMetrics.
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