FRM Part II · FRM Exam Part II · Global Financial Stability Report, April 2025, Chapter 2 (Geopolitical Risk)
A risk officer at a bank reviewing the IMF's analysis of geopolitical risk notes that a surge in geopolitical tensions can affect financial institutions through several routes. Which of the following is best described as a direct transmission channel to a bank's balance sheet?
Repricing of securities the bank holds is a direct transmission channel. Geopolitical shocks move sovereign and corporate bond prices and volatility, creating mark-to-market losses on the bank's balance sheet. Survey sentiment, slogans or branch counts do not transmit financial losses directly.
- AHigher volatility in a bank's own marketable securities holdings due to repricing of sovereign and corporate bondsCorrect
- BA general decline in consumer sentiment surveys in the bank's home country
- CA change in the bank's published corporate slogan
- DA rise in the number of branches in the bank's home country
Explanation
Geopolitical shocks reprice assets, so marketable securities held by the bank suffer mark-to-market losses directly. Sentiment surveys are indirect and not a balance sheet channel. Slogans and branch counts are unrelated to transmission of risk.
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