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FRM Part I · FRM Exam Part I · Machine-Learning Methods

A risk team evaluates a fraud classifier where only 1% of transactions are fraudulent. A model that labels every transaction as non-fraud achieves which result?

The model achieves 99% accuracy but 0% recall for fraud. It is right on all non-fraud cases, which make up 99% of the data, yet it catches no fraudulent transactions, illustrating why accuracy is a poor metric for imbalanced classes.

  1. AAccuracy of 99% but recall of 0% for fraudCorrect
  2. BAccuracy of 99% and recall of 99% for fraud
  3. CAccuracy of 50% and recall of 0% for fraud
  4. DAccuracy of 1% and recall of 100% for fraud

Explanation

Labeling everything as non-fraud is correct for 99% of cases, so accuracy is 99%. It detects no fraud, so TP = 0 and recall = 0. This shows accuracy misleads with imbalanced classes.

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