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IAI Actuarial Core Principles · Actuarial Statistics · Estimators and their properties

A sample of n independent observations is taken from a uniform distribution on (0, θ). The estimator θ̂ = 2X̄ is used for θ. What is its mean squared error?

The mean squared error is θ²/(3n). The estimator 2X̄ is unbiased, so MSE equals its variance, which is 4 times Var(X̄) = 4·θ²/(12n).

  1. Aθ²/(3n)Correct
  2. Bθ²/(12n)
  3. Cθ²/n
  4. Dθ²/(6n)
  5. 4θ²/(3n)

Explanation

E[2X̄] = θ so it is unbiased and MSE equals its variance. Var(X) = θ²/12, so Var(X̄) = θ²/(12n) and Var(2X̄) = 4θ²/(12n) = θ²/(3n). The option θ²/(12n) forgets the factor 4.

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