IAI Actuarial Core Principles · Risk Modelling and Survival Analysis · Applications of time series models
A time series Y_t is described as ARIMA(1,1,0). Which statement correctly describes the process?
An ARIMA(1,1,0) process is one whose first difference is a stationary AR(1) process. The middle parameter d=1 means one difference is needed to reach stationarity, so the original series is integrated of order one and is non-stationary.
- AY_t itself is a stationary AR(1) process
- BThe first difference of Y_t is a stationary AR(1) processCorrect
- CThe first difference of Y_t is a stationary MA(1) process
- DThe second difference of Y_t is a stationary AR(1) process
- Y_t is a stationary ARMA(1,1) process
Explanation
In ARIMA(p,d,q), d is the number of differences needed to give a stationary ARMA(p,q) process. Here d=1, p=1, q=0, so the first difference follows a stationary AR(1). Y_t itself is non-stationary because it is integrated of order 1.
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