CMA Final · Strategic Financial Management · Risks in Financial Market
A treasury holds a bond with Macaulay duration of 4.2 years and yield to maturity of 8% p.a. compounded annually. Its market value is Rs 10 crore. If yield rises by 50 basis points, the approximate change in value using modified duration is closest to:
The value falls by about Rs 19.44 lakh. Modified duration is 4.2 divided by 1.08, or 3.889; multiplied by a 0.5% yield rise it gives a 1.944% decline on Rs 10 crore. Using Macaulay duration directly would wrongly give Rs 21 lakh.
- ADecrease of Rs 19.44 lakhCorrect
- BIncrease of Rs 19.44 lakh
- CDecrease of Rs 21.00 lakh
- DDecrease of Rs 20.19 lakh
Explanation
Modified duration = 4.2/1.08 = 3.8889. Percentage change = -3.8889 x 0.005 = -1.9444%. On Rs 10 crore, fall = Rs 19.44 lakh. Rs 21.00 lakh uses Macaulay duration directly (4.2 x 0.5%). An increase has the wrong sign.
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