CFA Level I · CFA Level I Exam · Pricing and Valuation of Forward Contracts and for an Underlying with Varying Maturities
An analyst prices a forward contract on a non-dividend-paying stock that has no storage costs or other benefits. The stock trades at 50, the continuously compounded risk-free rate is not used, and the annual effective risk-free rate is 4%. The forward expires in one year. The no-arbitrage forward price at initiation is closest to:
The forward price is about 52.00. With no interim cash flows, the forward equals the spot price compounded at the risk-free rate over the contract term: 50 x 1.04 = 52. Using 50 ignores the time value of money, which an arbitrageur would earn by holding cash instead.
- A50.00
- B52.00Correct
- C54.00
Explanation
For an asset with no cash flows, F0 = S0 x (1+r)^T = 50 x 1.04 = 52.00. Choosing 50.00 ignores the cost of financing the spot purchase. 54.00 would require an 8% rate.
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