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CFA Level I · CFA Level I Exam · Equity Analyst Research Reports

An analyst's report forecasts next year's earnings per share of €2.40 and applies a target P/E of 15 to estimate a 12-month price target. The stock trades at €32.00. The expected price return to the target is closest to:

The expected price return is about 12.5%. The target price is €2.40 × 15 = €36.00, and dividing by the current price of €32.00 gives 1.125, an increase of 12.5%.

  1. A8.1%
  2. B12.5%Correct
  3. C15.0%

Explanation

Target price = 2.40 × 15 = €36.00. Expected price return = 36.00/32.00 − 1 = 12.5%. The 8.1% figure is not tied to any step; 15.0% simply reuses the multiple.

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