IAI Actuarial Core Principles · Economic Modelling · Role of insurance in reducing or removing risk
An individual with U(w) = ln w has wealth of ₹10,00,000 and faces a 10% chance of losing ₹5,00,000 and a 90% chance of no loss. Insurance is offered at a premium equal to the expected loss. Which statement is correct?
She prefers full insurance. The fair premium is ₹50,000, leaving certain wealth of ₹9,50,000 with log utility about 13.764, above the uninsured expected utility of about 13.746. Risk-averse individuals fully insure at actuarially fair premiums.
- AShe prefers to remain uninsured because the premium is above her certainty equivalent
- BShe is indifferent between insuring and not insuring
- CShe prefers full insurance because it gives wealth of ₹9,50,000 for certain, which has higher utility than the uninsured gambleCorrect
- DShe prefers partial insurance only, since full insurance is never optimal at a fair premium
- She cannot be risk averse because ln w is convex
Explanation
Expected loss = 0.1×5,00,000 = ₹50,000, so full cover leaves wealth ₹9,50,000 with ln = 13.764. Uninsured: 0.9 ln(10,00,000) + 0.1 ln(5,00,000) = 0.9(13.8155)+0.1(13.1224) = 13.746. Full insurance is higher. With a fair premium, a risk-averse person fully insures.
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